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Tag "Outlook"

CEE spreads will remain compressed

CEE spreads will remain compressed

🕔15:08, 17.okt 2019

Looking at the issuance performance so far this year, CEE countries have done a very good job. Several countries have already covered this year’s issuance plan and many others have also reached a high number. Slovakia seems to be lagging

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Caution or precaution? Fixed income outlook for the second half of 2019

Caution or precaution? Fixed income outlook for the second half of 2019

🕔17:38, 18.sep 2019

Bond market performance in 2019 has been dominated by a theme of central banks pivoting towards easier policy. In particular, the US Federal Reserve has signalled potential interest rate cuts, marking a meaningful shift compared with the hiking cycle of

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U.s. Economic & interest rate outlook

U.s. Economic & interest rate outlook

🕔09:36, 12.sep 2019

Labor Day weekend marked the functional end of a long, hot summer; the season ahead might be a little cooler for U.S. consumers and businesses. The U.S. administration stepped up tariffs on over $100 billion of Chinese imports of various

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Municipal bond market recap and outlook (PDF)

Municipal bond market recap and outlook (PDF)

🕔09:03, 6.sep 2019

The Netherlands has set ambitious targets with regards to reducing carbon emissions and moving towards a large share of renewable energy. The aim is to achieve 16% of renewable energy share by 2023. This means more than doubling the current

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Interest Rate Outlook Eurozone, USA

Interest Rate Outlook Eurozone, USA

🕔12:26, 5.sep 2019

Since the first surprise increase in tariffs by US President Trump at the beginning of May at the latest, the trade war has become the main driver of interest rate markets. There were fears over an escalation that could push

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What We Expect in the Second Half of 2019

What We Expect in the Second Half of 2019

🕔17:48, 23.aug 2019

Below is an overview of the key macroeconomic developments we expect to help determine our overall risk budget and inform our bottom-up security selection process in the second half of 2019: 

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Quarterly Outlook

Quarterly Outlook

🕔17:34, 23.aug 2019

While record highs on the major equity indices make for good headlines, the year-to-date returns posted by several fixed income sectors are impressive in their own right. Fueled by the second quarter’s collapse in developed market rates, long U.S. corporates

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Doesn't Feel Good

Doesn't Feel Good

🕔14:52, 15.aug 2019

View from the Bond Market Bond yields have plunged this summer. The cyclical slowdown and a wall of political worries has created a surge in demand for safe assets. Investors are trying to figure out what it all means. Will

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Fixed Income Outlook: What We Expect in the Second Half of 2019

Fixed Income Outlook: What We Expect in the Second Half of 2019

🕔13:59, 24.jul 2019

Below is an overview of the key macroeconomic developments we expect to help determine our overall risk budget and inform our bottom-up security selection process in the second half of 2019: 1. Populism—Populism is the enemy of globalization, the pullback

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Is it time to buy inflation breakevens?

Is it time to buy inflation breakevens?

🕔16:39, 23.jul 2019

Key points: Performance for inflation-linked bonds has been positive since the start of the year Compared to the current inflation rate, breakevens are trading at a depressed level   Beyond oil prices, stabilisation in economic growth outlook could boost inflation

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CEE Bond Market Outlook 3Q19

CEE Bond Market Outlook 3Q19

🕔04:03, 13.jul 2019

Gathering clouds over global economic growth have turned both the ECB and Fed more dovish. The ECB is preparing for more stimulus to the euro area economy unless the outlook improves, while Fed Chairman Powell hinted at preparedness for an

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Global Fixed Income Strategy

Global Fixed Income Strategy

🕔17:02, 10.jul 2019

In April, we wrote about the US Federal Reserve’s (Fed) evolving thoughts on its policy making framework as it considers a shift to average inflation targeting. This new framework would allow the Fed to be patient while average inflation increases

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Investors’ Outlook

Investors’ Outlook

🕔19:02, 30.jun 2019

In rough seas, the ship needs to stay the course Viewpoints – Why now could be the time to buy the dip in euro corporate bonds Equities – Investors flee to safety as the economic giants battle it out Focus

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EM Fixed Income

EM Fixed Income

🕔11:02, 13.jun 2019

Our views for the coming months  After a strong start of the year, with EM sovereign bonds up 7.6%, EM corporate bonds up 6.8% and EM local bonds up 3.0% in USD terms, we expect carry to be the primary

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Fixed Income Monthly

Fixed Income Monthly

🕔13:02, 14.mei 2019

The FIXED INCOME MONTHLY provides a forward-looking summary of the medium-term views from the Fidelity Fixed Income team. Our investment approach is multi-strategy, with portfolio managers given clear accountability and fiduciary responsibility for all investment decisions in a portfolio. Given

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Hermes Fixed Income Quarterly Report Q2 2019

Hermes Fixed Income Quarterly Report Q2 2019

🕔11:02, 9.mei 2019

A reveille has been sounded in markets that are now experiencing feverish activity as half a decade of torpor gives way to volatility. Glib explanations for the panicked stampede of the recent sell-off – and subsequent rebound – mask the

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Quarterly Outlook  Q2

Quarterly Outlook Q2

🕔13:02, 16.apr 2019

Fixed Income After the tumult of Q4 2018, investors deserved an easy quarter, and they got it. The Q4 trends of falling rates and rising economic concerns continued. But risk assets, like stocks and nongovernment fixed income spread products, pulled

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How I Learned to Stop Worrying and Love the Bond…

How I Learned to Stop Worrying and Love the Bond…

🕔03:04, 13.apr 2019

Systematic Fixed Income Outlook Bonds have returned to offsetting economic (and equity) risk in investor portfolios and the outlook for dampening inflation played the critical role fueling the change. The lack of inflation pressure enabled the Fed's dovish pivot, fueling

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Squeeze

Squeeze

🕔13:56, 12.apr 2019

Fixed income markets are enjoying a good run with the Federal Reserve again, suggesting this week that rates are on hold for the foreseeable future. Brexit has been delayed and the economic data continues to look more like “goldilocks” than

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A cautious short-term stance toward Treasuries

A cautious short-term stance toward Treasuries

🕔16:19, 8.apr 2019

We are cautious on U.S. Treasuries in the short term after the recent rally. Yet we still advocate exposure to build portfolio resilience. Scott explains. U.S. Treasury yields dropped sharply in March, breaking out of the tight range they had

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Global Fixed Income Views 2Q 2019

Global Fixed Income Views 2Q 2019

🕔15:53, 29.mrt 2019

Scenario probabilities (%) Source: J.P. Morgan Asset Management. Views are as of March 21, 2019. MARCH MADNESS Anyone in the U.S., or passing through this time of year, knows all too well about the collegiate basketball spectacle known as March

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Bonds are back

Bonds are back

🕔02:11, 28.feb 2019

Fixed Income Strategy Bonds are making a comeback. They have become a viable source of income, in our view, amid higher U.S. interest rates, a slowing but growing U.S. economy and a pause in the Federal Reserve’s tightening cycle. We

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Euro Credit 2019 Outlook

Euro Credit 2019 Outlook

🕔15:02, 16.feb 2019

All about policies? Last year was a difficult one for euro credit, with both the ICE Bank of America Merrill Lynch (ICE BofAML) investment grade (IG) and high yield (HY) indices posting negative total returns of -1.1 and -3.6%, respectively

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Fixed Income Outlook – PGIM

Fixed Income Outlook – PGIM

🕔11:02, 15.feb 2019

Global growth outlook cools amid higher interest rates and market volatility  The outlook for global growth in 2019 has slipped because of rising real interest rates, trade tensions, and asset market volatility. The U.S. economy is likely to expand at

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Barometer: Happy new year?

Barometer: Happy new year?

🕔14:03, 6.feb 2019

The global economy is cooling. Concerns about a full-blown trade war between the US and China have led to a significant deterioration in business confidence and economic activity, particularly in the developed world. It's not all doom and gloom, though.

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Asset Allocation Consensus September

Twitter

The integration of #ESG criteria often has a greater impact for emerging countries. Find out why in an interview with our expert #Karine_Jesiolowski (via @allnews_ch).

Low interest rates drive housing market -> https://t.co/XjhuRim2P7 #Interest #mortgages via @ABNAMROeconomen

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