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Capital Markets View: Global Edition Q4 2019

Capital Markets View: Global Edition Q4 2019

🕔18:26, 25.nov 2019

Corporate earnings expectations have continued to fade as the impact of a global growth slowdown and related trade frictions take hold at the company level. Trade tensions between the United States and China remain elevated though negotiations aimed at reaching

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A Shift From Synchronized Returns to Dispersion – Fixed Income Outlook 2020

A Shift From Synchronized Returns to Dispersion – Fixed Income Outlook 2020

🕔10:41, 21.nov 2019

It’s not likely the conditions of 2019 will be repeated, where safehaven government bonds as well as higher risk fixed income assets performed well. We expect 2020 to be marked by a continuation of bifurcated risk appetites, in which many

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Our monthly market analysis and positioning

Our monthly market analysis and positioning

🕔13:38, 6.nov 2019

October has been dominated by big political misses. But central banks have once again set the tone for capital markets, pushing them to new highs. October was all about talk of deals and crucial dead-lines. What happened? The deals got

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Hermes – Fixed Income Quarterly Report

Hermes – Fixed Income Quarterly Report

🕔10:01, 5.nov 2019

Opportunities beneath the surface The divergence between different credit qualities widened over the third quarter, as investors gave the lower end a wide berth. Dispersion in spreads between higher and lower-quality credit increased over the quarter. Looking solely at the

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Bond rally reflects economic uncertainty

Bond rally reflects economic uncertainty

🕔11:10, 4.nov 2019

Putnam – Fixed Income Outlook Global growth has cooled in 2019 as trade conflicts have taken a toll on international manufacturing, investments, and financial markets. Despite multiple headwinds, the likelihood of a recession — while rising — remains relatively low

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Bond rally reflects economic uncertainty

Bond rally reflects economic uncertainty

🕔07:36, 31.okt 2019

Q4 2019 | Fixed Income Outlook Global growth has cooled in 2019 as trade conflicts have taken a toll on international manufacturing, investments, and financial markets. Despite multiple headwinds, the likelihood of a recession — while rising — remains relatively

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Keep a cautious stance in risk assets amid lack of visibility on future earnings growth

Keep a cautious stance in risk assets amid lack of visibility on future earnings growth

🕔13:01, 24.okt 2019

Bad but not so bad news left the market in a limbo: equity markets were more or less flat in the month, treasury yields remained in the 1.5 / 1.8 range and credit spreads also remained within the trading range

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CEE spreads will remain compressed

CEE spreads will remain compressed

🕔15:08, 17.okt 2019

Looking at the issuance performance so far this year, CEE countries have done a very good job. Several countries have already covered this year’s issuance plan and many others have also reached a high number. Slovakia seems to be lagging

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Caution or precaution? Fixed income outlook for the second half of 2019

Caution or precaution? Fixed income outlook for the second half of 2019

🕔17:38, 18.sep 2019

Bond market performance in 2019 has been dominated by a theme of central banks pivoting towards easier policy. In particular, the US Federal Reserve has signalled potential interest rate cuts, marking a meaningful shift compared with the hiking cycle of

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U.s. Economic & interest rate outlook

U.s. Economic & interest rate outlook

🕔09:36, 12.sep 2019

Labor Day weekend marked the functional end of a long, hot summer; the season ahead might be a little cooler for U.S. consumers and businesses. The U.S. administration stepped up tariffs on over $100 billion of Chinese imports of various

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Municipal bond market recap and outlook (PDF)

Municipal bond market recap and outlook (PDF)

🕔09:03, 6.sep 2019

The Netherlands has set ambitious targets with regards to reducing carbon emissions and moving towards a large share of renewable energy. The aim is to achieve 16% of renewable energy share by 2023. This means more than doubling the current

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Interest Rate Outlook Eurozone, USA

Interest Rate Outlook Eurozone, USA

🕔12:26, 5.sep 2019

Since the first surprise increase in tariffs by US President Trump at the beginning of May at the latest, the trade war has become the main driver of interest rate markets. There were fears over an escalation that could push

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What We Expect in the Second Half of 2019

What We Expect in the Second Half of 2019

🕔17:48, 23.aug 2019

Below is an overview of the key macroeconomic developments we expect to help determine our overall risk budget and inform our bottom-up security selection process in the second half of 2019: 

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Quarterly Outlook

Quarterly Outlook

🕔17:34, 23.aug 2019

While record highs on the major equity indices make for good headlines, the year-to-date returns posted by several fixed income sectors are impressive in their own right. Fueled by the second quarter’s collapse in developed market rates, long U.S. corporates

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Doesn't Feel Good

Doesn't Feel Good

🕔14:52, 15.aug 2019

View from the Bond Market Bond yields have plunged this summer. The cyclical slowdown and a wall of political worries has created a surge in demand for safe assets. Investors are trying to figure out what it all means. Will

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Fixed Income Outlook: What We Expect in the Second Half of 2019

Fixed Income Outlook: What We Expect in the Second Half of 2019

🕔13:59, 24.jul 2019

Below is an overview of the key macroeconomic developments we expect to help determine our overall risk budget and inform our bottom-up security selection process in the second half of 2019: 1. Populism—Populism is the enemy of globalization, the pullback

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Is it time to buy inflation breakevens?

Is it time to buy inflation breakevens?

🕔16:39, 23.jul 2019

Key points: Performance for inflation-linked bonds has been positive since the start of the year Compared to the current inflation rate, breakevens are trading at a depressed level   Beyond oil prices, stabilisation in economic growth outlook could boost inflation

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CEE Bond Market Outlook 3Q19

CEE Bond Market Outlook 3Q19

🕔04:03, 13.jul 2019

Gathering clouds over global economic growth have turned both the ECB and Fed more dovish. The ECB is preparing for more stimulus to the euro area economy unless the outlook improves, while Fed Chairman Powell hinted at preparedness for an

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Global Fixed Income Strategy

Global Fixed Income Strategy

🕔17:02, 10.jul 2019

In April, we wrote about the US Federal Reserve’s (Fed) evolving thoughts on its policy making framework as it considers a shift to average inflation targeting. This new framework would allow the Fed to be patient while average inflation increases

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Investors’ Outlook

Investors’ Outlook

🕔19:02, 30.jun 2019

In rough seas, the ship needs to stay the course Viewpoints – Why now could be the time to buy the dip in euro corporate bonds Equities – Investors flee to safety as the economic giants battle it out Focus

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EM Fixed Income

EM Fixed Income

🕔11:02, 13.jun 2019

Our views for the coming months  After a strong start of the year, with EM sovereign bonds up 7.6%, EM corporate bonds up 6.8% and EM local bonds up 3.0% in USD terms, we expect carry to be the primary

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Fixed Income Monthly

Fixed Income Monthly

🕔13:02, 14.mei 2019

The FIXED INCOME MONTHLY provides a forward-looking summary of the medium-term views from the Fidelity Fixed Income team. Our investment approach is multi-strategy, with portfolio managers given clear accountability and fiduciary responsibility for all investment decisions in a portfolio. Given

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Hermes Fixed Income Quarterly Report Q2 2019

Hermes Fixed Income Quarterly Report Q2 2019

🕔11:02, 9.mei 2019

A reveille has been sounded in markets that are now experiencing feverish activity as half a decade of torpor gives way to volatility. Glib explanations for the panicked stampede of the recent sell-off – and subsequent rebound – mask the

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Quarterly Outlook  Q2

Quarterly Outlook Q2

🕔13:02, 16.apr 2019

Fixed Income After the tumult of Q4 2018, investors deserved an easy quarter, and they got it. The Q4 trends of falling rates and rising economic concerns continued. But risk assets, like stocks and nongovernment fixed income spread products, pulled

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How I Learned to Stop Worrying and Love the Bond…

How I Learned to Stop Worrying and Love the Bond…

🕔03:04, 13.apr 2019

Systematic Fixed Income Outlook Bonds have returned to offsetting economic (and equity) risk in investor portfolios and the outlook for dampening inflation played the critical role fueling the change. The lack of inflation pressure enabled the Fed's dovish pivot, fueling

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Zoek

Twitter

Learn why PM Mike Della Vedova says the diversification benefits of a global high yield portfolio may involve less risk than a more traditional, U.S.-focused high yield strategy. https://t.co/g8dneU9G6N

Bob Homan of @INGnl_IO, keynote speaker at the @AlphaResearchNL conference #LowerforLonger last week: “Analysts are often too enthusiastic. They should lower their expectations.” #2020outlook

Our conference #UBPInvestmentOutlook had a full house in London last week! Our experts shared their 2020 outlook for the global economy and more specifically for the UK. Thank you all for coming!

Zal zijn laatste woorden aan mij nooit vergeten. Over woorden gesproken: toen ik Volcker de eerste keer ontmoette, was zijn eerste vraag:"Hoe is het met Andre Szász?" Ik had 15 minuten met hem. Het werd 1,5 uur! Er was een klik. RIP

De Asset Allocatie Awards komen er weer aan! Nominaties komen deze week, winnaars op 4 februari 2020... Hier een sfeer inpressie van vorig jaar -> https://t.co/c36HWpyGVx

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