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Fixed Income outlook – To neutral and beyond

Fixed Income outlook – To neutral and beyond

🕔21:53, 19.May 2022

The first quarter of 2022 was tumultuous for the global economy and financial markets. The conflict between Russia and Ukraine spawned a rally in US Treasuries, but the disruption to metals, agricultural and energy commodity markets only spurred inflation further.

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A Stagflationary Shock

A Stagflationary Shock

🕔08:34, 17.Mar 2022

The geopolitical crisis in Ukraine creates a stagflationary shock for global economies. Rising commodity prices have the potential to add momentum to already runaway inflation. Higher goods and services costs may hurt consumer confidence and create a drag on economic

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Emerging Market Fixed Income 2022 Outlook

Emerging Market Fixed Income 2022 Outlook

🕔10:55, 25.Feb 2022

In this paper, we will discuss the outlook for emerging market (EM) fixed income in 2022 and the key themes investors are likely to focus on at the beginning of this year. A waning global growth momentum, rising inflation and

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Emerging Market Fixed Income 2022 Outlook

Emerging Market Fixed Income 2022 Outlook

🕔15:53, 18.Feb 2022

In this paper, we will discuss the outlook for emerging market (EM) fixed income in 2022 and the key themes investors are likely to focus on at the beginning of this year. A waning global growth momentum, rising inflation and

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US Fixed Income Outlook 2022

US Fixed Income Outlook 2022

🕔14:36, 21.Jan 2022

Playing second fiddle. That’s how the 2022 economic forecasts feel when compared to 2021. For ’22, we see real growth running about 4%, or two times trend. That’s typically great performance, but when you’re coming off a phenomenal growth year

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Expect strong but slowing economic growth in 2022

Expect strong but slowing economic growth in 2022

🕔12:16, 7.Jan 2022

High inflation could persist in 2022, but we’re not returning to the 1970s Inflation is like chewing gum. It’s sticky and flexible, and you definitely don’t want to step in it. For the past 30 years, investors in developed markets

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Fixed income: from recovery to expansion

Fixed income: from recovery to expansion

🕔10:40, 3.Jan 2022

In 2022 we expect the market narrative to transition to the traditional expansionary phase of the business cycle. Here’s what it means for fixed income investors.  Monetary headwinds Throughout 2021 the invisible hand of easy global monetary policy supported financial

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Fixed Income Perspectives- Seven Themes to Monitor in the First Half of 2022

Fixed Income Perspectives- Seven Themes to Monitor in the First Half of 2022

🕔08:07, 31.Dec 2021

Global Rates: Yields edge higher driven by ongoing inflation worries and 2022 rate-hike expectations Global Currencies: U.S. dollar remains resilient versus DM, EM currencies, acting as a market barometer of COVID concerns Investment Grade: Despite Fed and virus uncertainty, we see spreads

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Rebuilding USD and duration exposure going into year-end

Rebuilding USD and duration exposure going into year-end

🕔15:49, 8.Dec 2021

ADDING RESILIENCE INTO PORTFOLIOS   Global economy / Asset allocation Facing energy and inflation shocks, global activity is expected to moderate in the coming quarters. Downside risks to growth have grown due to lower visibility, the global energy shock leading to

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Bond markets navigate crosscurrents of rates and inflation

Bond markets navigate crosscurrents of rates and inflation

🕔12:10, 4.Nov 2021

Q4 2021 | Fixed Income Outlook: Global financial markets were mixed during the third quarter. Fixed-income markets faced volatility from multiple directions, including the Federal Reserve’s announced intention to taper monthly bond purchases, the expiration of the U.S. federal debt

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For our 12-month outlook we remain cautiously optimistic

For our 12-month outlook we remain cautiously optimistic

🕔10:36, 30.Sep 2021

August was friendly, which it often hasn’t been in the past. In bonds, little happened overall. Government bonds and investment-grade corporate bonds showed a slightly negative total return, while the high-yield segment, as well as Asian bonds, just made it

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July/August 2021 CROSS ASSET Investment Strategy

July/August 2021 CROSS ASSET Investment Strategy

🕔20:07, 7.Jul 2021

Waters appear calm, but there are strong undercurrents. Large economies are at different stages of their journey towards peak acceleration, but rising…

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Mid-Year Outlook: US Fixed Income – June 2021

Mid-Year Outlook: US Fixed Income – June 2021

🕔10:45, 5.Jul 2021

Fundamentals have continued to recover alongside vaccination efforts and reduced Covid restrictions, as well as fiscal and monetary accommodation driving increased general economic activity. We expect these factors …

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Tempting FAIT

Tempting FAIT

🕔15:36, 29.Jun 2021

Systematic Fixed Income Outlook: BlackRock’s quant bond experts tackle some hard questions around the recent inflation data. What is behind the headlines? Are rising prices just temporary or the start of something bigger? What does greater inflation uncertainty mean for

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The whites of their eyes

The whites of their eyes

🕔14:05, 21.Apr 2021

Fixed Income Outlook–2Q2 The US Federal Reserve’s new average inflation targeting framework means that the central bank will not raise policy rates until realised inflation has risen sustainably to above its 2% target. That is, it does not intend to

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Multi-asset market outlook

Multi-asset market outlook

🕔09:28, 13.Apr 2021

While fixed income markets mainly remained under pressure, they were not the worst performing asset class in March. That honor went to commodities. After leading the way over the past months, commodities came under pressure in March. The decline was broad based. Crude oil lost …

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From Despair to Hope

From Despair to Hope

🕔14:55, 12.Feb 2021

In the US, reflation on the back of fiscal stimulus and the exit from lockdowns should lead to modestly higher inflation expectations and nominal bond yields. A renewed ‘taper tantrum’ looks unlikely as excess capacity and high unemployment rates will prevent …

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Podcast: Flash Update – UBP Global & Absolute Return Fixed Income Outlook 2021

Podcast: Flash Update – UBP Global & Absolute Return Fixed Income Outlook 2021

🕔11:48, 27.Jan 2021

Key takeaways: 1) We anticipate that the global growth recovery will remain intact as vaccine distribution will allow economies to gradually normalise, 2) Monetary and fiscal policy shall remain accommodative, 3) We expect this to be a positive environment for credit, whilst interest rate markets have room to breathe higher

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Brightening Outlook Propels Credit Market Rally

Brightening Outlook Propels Credit Market Rally

🕔15:46, 18.Jan 2021

Brightening Outlook Propels Credit Market Rally Fixed Income Asset Allocation Insights Credit markets continued to rally into December, and valuations now fairly reflect optimism that we are firmly on the path toward economic and earnings recovery. While these conditions would

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Seizing the new reality

Seizing the new reality

🕔09:39, 17.Dec 2020

Outlook 2021  Fidelity International’s outlook for the global economy, multi asset, equities, fixed income and real estate If you are reading this, then you’ve lived through one of the most volatile periods in market history. The year to come may

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Managing to the Other Side

Managing to the Other Side

🕔09:15, 16.Dec 2020

2021 Global Market Oultook New vaccines could accelerate recovery, boost cyclical sectors The 2020 global pandemic tested the ability of companies and investors to manage their way through an unforeseen and dangerous period. However, T. Rowe Price investment leaders believe the other side

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Legacy of the Lockdowns – Outlook

Legacy of the Lockdowns – Outlook

🕔09:35, 11.Dec 2020

In our 2021 Investment Outlook, we seek to help investors navigate the next phases of the pandemic, the legacy of the lockdowns, and the ensuing economic recovery. We also consider how solutions to the climate crisis can be found at

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CIO outlook: Time for Healing Q4 2020

CIO outlook: Time for Healing Q4 2020

🕔10:59, 9.Dec 2020

After contending with the terrible human and economic toll of a pandemic, as well as market volatility reminiscent of the financial crisis, investors could well be forgiven for wondering anxiously: what could 2021 possibly have in store for us?

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A Brave New World

A Brave New World

🕔07:26, 1.Dec 2020

Investment Outlook 2021 According to our scenario, all countries should see renewed growth in 2021. Economies have seen a gradual upturn since summer 2020, although the resurgence of Covid-19 cases and new local restrictions are hampering the recovery at the

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2021 Investment Outlook

2021 Investment Outlook

🕔15:05, 24.Nov 2020

"Marked by the most severe recession in modern history, 2020 was an unprecedented year. With the global pandemic continuing, we enter 2021 with a mildly positive outlook for the upcoming recovery, but with the assumption that the path to pre-crisis

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Fixed Income Outlook – Q4 2020

Fixed Income Outlook – Q4 2020

🕔14:43, 20.Nov 2020

Introduction: Binary outcomes In our recent CIO Autumn Outlook, we highlighted the binary nature of the key event risks heading into the final quarter, all of which still have the scope to move markets significantly. These are the US presidential

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Outlook for Fed Policy: Near- Term, Longer- Term

Outlook for Fed Policy: Near- Term, Longer- Term

🕔10:00, 3.Sep 2020

Global Fixed Income Strategy In November 2018, the US Federal Reserve (Fed) announced that it would conduct a broad review of its monetary policy framework. The new framework will likely shape monetary policy in …

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Bond Compass Balancing Risk, Searching for Yield

Bond Compass Balancing Risk, Searching for Yield

🕔12:57, 27.Jul 2020

State Street Global Advisors has identified the key considerations for investors in the coming quarter, and how markets can be navigated using SPDR ETFs. We remain positive on emerging market debt (EMD). While EMD has recently risen,less developed markets have

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ABS, Pension Agreement and Fixed Income in our Top Five this week

ABS, Pension Agreement and Fixed Income in our Top Five this week

🕔11:13, 11.Jul 2020

#28 A variety of webinars were hosted this past week and next week a few interesting are coming up. Therefore, before we tell you the best read research of week 28, we will highlight two webinars. Last Thursday, Eurizon AM

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2020 Midyear Fixed Income Outlook: A Policy-Driven Snapback

2020 Midyear Fixed Income Outlook: A Policy-Driven Snapback

🕔08:03, 17.Jun 2020

We entered 2020 with expectations of substantially lower, but positive, beta returns following a near-ideal year for asset returns across the xed income spectrum. As the coronavirus took hold and benign economic expectations gave way to severe disruptions, March saw

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Top 5 Research this week: Tag Asset Allocation in the lead

Top 5 Research this week: Tag Asset Allocation in the lead

🕔10:34, 30.May 2020

#22 Since COVID-19 webinars are booming business, we see this in our calendar analytics as well. Every month the events page is a great hit. Coming month are some very interesting webinars again you don’t want to miss: On June

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Week #16 – Top Five Best Read Research on OpinioPro

Week #16 – Top Five Best Read Research on OpinioPro

🕔10:00, 18.Apr 2020

#16 Again, the page visitors found most interesting this past week was our Events calendar page. In this calendar, you can find all kinds of webinars happening in the investment sector. For example, next week AQR Capital Management holds a

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Market Compass

Market Compass

🕔16:47, 17.Apr 2020

Due to the global spreading of the Covid-19, fears for economic activity increase. The data released this month will provide a first assessment of the damages. The Fed has already cut rate and Central banks will follow also providing liquidity

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COVID-19: Uncharted Waters for the Economy and Markets

COVID-19: Uncharted Waters for the Economy and Markets

🕔15:57, 13.Apr 2020

QMA’s Global Multi-Asset Solutions Group The rapid spread of the coronavirus has triggered a global health crisis, rocked global financial markets, and caused a sudden stop in the global …

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Quarterly Outlook

Quarterly Outlook

🕔07:43, 13.Apr 2020

In the span of less than three months, the novel coronavirus has shuttered much of the global economy, bringing an 11-year economic expansion to an abrupt end. As our Chief Economist explains in the following pages, broad uncertainty remains regarding

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Fixed income market update

Fixed income market update

🕔10:56, 16.Mar 2020

– For the month ended February 29, 2020, the Bloomberg Barclays U.S. Aggregate Bond Index returned 1.80%. Year to the date, the index has returned 3.76%. – U.S. Treasuries returned 2.65% during the month as the yield on the 10-year

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Fixed income market update

Fixed income market update

🕔08:04, 5.Mar 2020

BMO Fixed Income  For the month ended February 29, 2020, the Bloomberg Barclays U.S. Aggregate Bond Index returned 1.80%. Year to the date, the index has returned 3.76%. U.S. Treasuries returned 2.65% during the month as the yield on the

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Viewpoint from Financial Partners

Viewpoint from Financial Partners

🕔16:43, 24.Feb 2020

Market commentary As the year began, so it ended, with yet another strong month for risk assets in December, capping one of the best years for markets since the financial crisis. Equities again led the charge, but leadership for once

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Fixed Income 2020 Outlook Live your best life

Fixed Income 2020 Outlook Live your best life

🕔09:07, 10.Jan 2020

Living your best life, if we understand the parlance of our times, is to say live in the moment. This seems like a reasonable strategy for short-term enjoyment, but a fairly mediocre life plan. That approach appears a reasonable analog

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Voya Multi-Asset Perspectives

Voya Multi-Asset Perspectives

🕔10:35, 9.Jan 2020

Good Tidings for Investors Heading into Year-End Global equities continued their climb, considerably outperforming bonds through November and the first half of December. Within U.S. stocks, relative returns across the capitalization spectrum were fairly tight. Growth outperformed value but cyclical

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2020 outlook for the US 10-year Treasury bond

2020 outlook for the US 10-year Treasury bond

🕔15:18, 26.Dec 2019

 In 2019, 10-year US Treasury bonds traded in a range of 1.46-2.78%, the fourth-widest range since 2010. In 2020, we think the 10-year Treasury may trade in a similar range, with additional volatility arising from many of the same factors

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Closing strong u.s. Economic & interest rate outlook

Closing strong u.s. Economic & interest rate outlook

🕔16:38, 18.Dec 2019

The year 2019 has given us plenty of fodder for commentary. The Federal Reserve changed its outlook materially, recession worries rose, and the trade war carried on. All the while, the economy has continued to perform admirably, with steady growth,

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Market outlook 2020: Global convertible bonds

Market outlook 2020: Global convertible bonds

🕔13:28, 17.Dec 2019

Convertible bond valuations and fundamentals remain attractive overall, making the asset class well prepared for a potentially trickier year ahead. As we close out a fruitful year for financial markets, it’s fair to say that 2020 will not start with

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Capital Markets View: Global Edition Q4 2019

Capital Markets View: Global Edition Q4 2019

🕔18:26, 25.Nov 2019

Corporate earnings expectations have continued to fade as the impact of a global growth slowdown and related trade frictions take hold at the company level. Trade tensions between the United States and China remain elevated though negotiations aimed at reaching

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A Shift From Synchronized Returns to Dispersion – Fixed Income Outlook 2020

A Shift From Synchronized Returns to Dispersion – Fixed Income Outlook 2020

🕔10:41, 21.Nov 2019

It’s not likely the conditions of 2019 will be repeated, where safehaven government bonds as well as higher risk fixed income assets performed well. We expect 2020 to be marked by a continuation of bifurcated risk appetites, in which many

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Our monthly market analysis and positioning

Our monthly market analysis and positioning

🕔13:38, 6.Nov 2019

October has been dominated by big political misses. But central banks have once again set the tone for capital markets, pushing them to new highs. October was all about talk of deals and crucial dead-lines. What happened? The deals got

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Hermes – Fixed Income Quarterly Report

Hermes – Fixed Income Quarterly Report

🕔10:01, 5.Nov 2019

Opportunities beneath the surface The divergence between different credit qualities widened over the third quarter, as investors gave the lower end a wide berth. Dispersion in spreads between higher and lower-quality credit increased over the quarter. Looking solely at the

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Bond rally reflects economic uncertainty

Bond rally reflects economic uncertainty

🕔11:10, 4.Nov 2019

Putnam – Fixed Income Outlook Global growth has cooled in 2019 as trade conflicts have taken a toll on international manufacturing, investments, and financial markets. Despite multiple headwinds, the likelihood of a recession — while rising — remains relatively low

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Bond rally reflects economic uncertainty

Bond rally reflects economic uncertainty

🕔07:36, 31.Oct 2019

Q4 2019 | Fixed Income Outlook Global growth has cooled in 2019 as trade conflicts have taken a toll on international manufacturing, investments, and financial markets. Despite multiple headwinds, the likelihood of a recession — while rising — remains relatively

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Keep a cautious stance in risk assets amid lack of visibility on future earnings growth

Keep a cautious stance in risk assets amid lack of visibility on future earnings growth

🕔13:01, 24.Oct 2019

Bad but not so bad news left the market in a limbo: equity markets were more or less flat in the month, treasury yields remained in the 1.5 / 1.8 range and credit spreads also remained within the trading range

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