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Tag "Outlook"

New opportunities in Chinese bonds

New opportunities in Chinese bonds

🕔20:34, 22.Apr 2019

China’s local-currency bond market is opening up to global investors. Scott explains the investing implications. China’s local-currency bond market is opening up to global investors. The Bloomberg Barclays Global Aggregate Index begins including yuan-denominated bonds this month, automatically adding exposure

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This time it’s different

This time it’s different

🕔17:02, 18.Apr 2019

Fundamental Equities Outlook  Since the beginning of the year, global equity markets have staged a swift comeback, turning around the dismal performance of the final quarter of 2018. Year-to-date, the MSCI World is up almost 16% in US dollar terms

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Why Today’s Economic Green Shoots Are Strongly Rooted

Why Today’s Economic Green Shoots Are Strongly Rooted

🕔12:00, 18.Apr 2019

Capital Market Line Quarterly Five-Year Forecast of Relative Risk and Return Across Asset Classes Another self-induced China slowdown with a global spillover is coming to an end. Also coming to an end seems to be Federal Reserve forward guidance, which

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The Future of Bond Trading and Technology

The Future of Bond Trading and Technology

🕔15:03, 17.Apr 2019

Welcome to the third edition of the Bond Compass. This global, quarterly report leverages analysis from State Street Global Markets showing bond flows and holdings indicators from Q1 2019, taken from a data set that represents $10 trillion1 of assets.

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Quarterly Outlook  Q2

Quarterly Outlook Q2

🕔13:02, 16.Apr 2019

Fixed Income After the tumult of Q4 2018, investors deserved an easy quarter, and they got it. The Q4 trends of falling rates and rising economic concerns continued. But risk assets, like stocks and nongovernment fixed income spread products, pulled

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How I learned to stop worrying and love the bond

How I learned to stop worrying and love the bond

🕔07:16, 16.Apr 2019

Jeff explains that bonds appear to be back to playing their traditional role as diversifiers against stock downturns. But a look back in history reveals that inflation may be key to how well this relationship holds up in the future.

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Global market perspective

Global market perspective

🕔11:02, 15.Apr 2019

Economic and asset allocation views Risk assets rebounded sharply in the first quarter with US equities recording one of their best first quarter gains on record. Strong performances were also registered by China A-shares, which was the best performer during

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Global Equity Views 2Q 2019

Global Equity Views 2Q 2019

🕔11:02, 15.Apr 2019

Themes and implications from the Global Equity Investors Quarterly After a rip-roaring recovery from the miserable end to last year, it is easy to think of reasons to take a more cautious view of the prospects for world equity markets.

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How I Learned to Stop Worrying and Love the Bond…

How I Learned to Stop Worrying and Love the Bond…

🕔03:04, 13.Apr 2019

Systematic Fixed Income Outlook Bonds have returned to offsetting economic (and equity) risk in investor portfolios and the outlook for dampening inflation played the critical role fueling the change. The lack of inflation pressure enabled the Fed's dovish pivot, fueling

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Squeeze

Squeeze

🕔13:56, 12.Apr 2019

Fixed income markets are enjoying a good run with the Federal Reserve again, suggesting this week that rates are on hold for the foreseeable future. Brexit has been delayed and the economic data continues to look more like “goldilocks” than

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Multi-asset market outlook

Multi-asset market outlook

🕔13:02, 10.Apr 2019

The continuous string of bad economic numbers started to eat away at market confidence. The fact that the policy objective of central banks was to normalize policy didn’t help, as it could imply that they would be less sensitive to

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Reality check

Reality check

🕔13:02, 10.Apr 2019

Multi-asset House Views At the beginning of the year, we believed that market fears about recession were unwarranted and that, as contrarian investors, we should lean against growth pessimism by owning risk asset classes. We argued that the economic system

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Fed pivot supports asset prices

Fed pivot supports asset prices

🕔13:02, 10.Apr 2019

House View Q2 2019 According to the IMF, global growth was estimated to be 3.7 per cent in 2018, a similar rate of increase to that seen in 2017. When taken together, the past two years represent the strongest period

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What’s really changed?

What’s really changed?

🕔13:02, 10.Apr 2019

Multi Asset Outlook ​We think easier policy is priced by the market and investors should consider more defensive positioning as growth cools. We would consider the following Favor credit over equities, and within credit, investment-grade and high-yield bonds over bank

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A cautious short-term stance toward Treasuries

A cautious short-term stance toward Treasuries

🕔16:19, 8.Apr 2019

We are cautious on U.S. Treasuries in the short term after the recent rally. Yet we still advocate exposure to build portfolio resilience. Scott explains. U.S. Treasury yields dropped sharply in March, breaking out of the tight range they had

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Warmer weather please

Warmer weather please

🕔16:37, 5.Apr 2019

There have been some signs of global growth stabilising, although European data is lagging. China and the US published stronger data on manufacturing last week. Bond yields have risen a bit, suggesting recession fears have receded somewhat. This is a

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Economic and Strategy Viewpoint

Economic and Strategy Viewpoint

🕔11:02, 5.Apr 2019

April 2019 Investor concerns have switched from trade wars to politics and growth. The inversion of the yield curve is now adding to US recession fears. We see scope for a near term bounce in activity, but remain concerned further

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3 investing ideas for the second quarter

3 investing ideas for the second quarter

🕔07:59, 5.Apr 2019

We see a repeat of the first-quarter rally as unlikely, and advocate more carefully balancing risk and reward as the second quarter kicks off. Richard shares three investing ideas for this quarter. Markets are off to a strong start in

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Global Strategy Q2 2019

Global Strategy Q2 2019

🕔04:02, 4.Apr 2019

Trade disputes and country-specific issues dampen the global growth outlook and lead to elevated volatility in financial markets. Central banks have postponed their expected rate hikes and safe haven investments are moreover benefiting from the threat of a hard Brexit.

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A symphony of trades

A symphony of trades

🕔13:03, 3.Apr 2019

Macro Quarterly Calm after the storm—or before a new one? After the volatility of late 2018, 2019 has proven much kinder to global risk assets thus far. Ironically, in our view it was precisely the severity of market concerns about

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How Will Retirement Saving Change by 2050? Prospects for the Millennial Generation

How Will Retirement Saving Change by 2050? Prospects for the Millennial Generation

🕔13:03, 3.Apr 2019

We consider prospects for retirement saving for members of the millennial generation, who will be between ages 54 and 69 in 2050. Adequacy of retirement saving preparation among current and near-retirees is marked by significant heterogeneity, a characteristic that will

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A sweet spot, but keep a sharp eye on the macro side

A sweet spot, but keep a sharp eye on the macro side

🕔09:23, 3.Apr 2019

Cross Asset Investment Strategy Risky assets have been in a very strong uptrend since the beginning of the year. The key question now is, where do we go from here? There are two main driving forces to focus on in

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Key investment themes for the second quarter

Key investment themes for the second quarter

🕔07:17, 3.Apr 2019

Richard lays out our views for the second quarter–including three refreshed investment themes. Global stocks have had a strong start of the year. Will the rally be sustainable? We see a repeat as unlikely and a narrower path for risk

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Review of markets over March 2019

Review of markets over March 2019

🕔13:13, 1.Apr 2019

The new year has brought with it a new wave of optimism, with equities and credit rallying strongly across the world. The sell-off in equities and credit in the final quarter of last year was caused predominantly by concerns about

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Still here…

🕔16:33, 29.Mar 2019

Britain was supposed to have left the EU today. As you may have noticed, it hasn’t. The future remains uncertain, especially as there will be more political change. The real work will begin once the withdrawal has taken place but

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