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The Next Phase

The Next Phase

🕔12:30, 28.Jul 2021

Mid-Year Outlook 2021 The view of investors on the outlook for US growth and inflation has varied significantly over the course of the year. Following the positive vaccine trial results last November, and particularly with the Democratic Senate victories in

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Continuing to pivot alongside the Federal Reserve

Continuing to pivot alongside the Federal Reserve

🕔16:37, 27.Jul 2021

Monthly Investment Outlook: Global equity markets closed at the half year point higher, while global bonds fell as the Federal Reserve began to signal a pivot change – by potentially slowing the pace of its bond buying, i.e. ‘tapering’ –

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Do earnings matter?

Do earnings matter?

🕔15:26, 26.Jul 2021

Weekly investment update: Beginning last year, many companies stopped providing forward guidance, that is, their view on whether sales and profits would be higher or lower than the last time they had spoken with analysts and investors. At the time,

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US Economic & interest rate outlook

US Economic & interest rate outlook

🕔08:00, 19.Jul 2021

This July, we find ourselves looking back on a half a year of upside surprises. As the year started, we expected an better run than we had in 2020, which was a low standard to surpass. Rapid progress distributing vaccines

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Economic and asset allocation views Q3 2021

Economic and asset allocation views Q3 2021

🕔16:57, 9.Jul 2021

Economic overview .We are upgrading our forecast for global growth and now expect the world economy to expand by 5.9% this year (previously 5.3%) before slowing to 4.5% in 2022 (previously 4.6%). Our forecasts for inflation are also increased, with

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Mid-Year Investment Outlook: Mission transition

Mid-Year Investment Outlook: Mission transition

🕔16:28, 9.Jul 2021

Welcome to our mid-year Outlook, my first as the new chief investment officer at HSBC Asset Management. It is an honour to share with you our latest views on the world’s economies and markets. A huge thanks and best wishes

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Global Macro Outlook Third Quarter, 2021

Global Macro Outlook Third Quarter, 2021

🕔14:15, 9.Jul 2021

The recovery continues to gather pace. We’ve raised our growth forecasts and expect the global economy to grow by 6.1% this year and 4.3% in 2022. Both forecasts are well above the precrisis trend of around 3.0%. It’s important to

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July/August 2021 CROSS ASSET Investment Strategy

July/August 2021 CROSS ASSET Investment Strategy

🕔20:07, 7.Jul 2021

Waters appear calm, but there are strong undercurrents. Large economies are at different stages of their journey towards peak acceleration, but rising…

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Things are so good that it’s time for a break

Things are so good that it’s time for a break

🕔20:05, 7.Jul 2021

A buoyant economic recovery, record stock markets and calm bond markets. Things have been going all too well and the next surprises are unlikely to be positive. Global economic growth is slightly up, so are equity price targets, though, we see

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Long-term perspective on markets and economies – June 2021

Long-term perspective on markets and economies – June 2021

🕔16:57, 6.Jul 2021

A reawakening of the global economy — boosted by pentup demand and unprecedented government stimulus — has stoked investor fears of higher inflation. But those fears may be exaggerated amid ongoing weakness in the labour market and the slowing pace

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Outlook: Stay the Course!

Outlook: Stay the Course!

🕔11:40, 5.Jul 2021

The first half of 2021 has been positive for risky assets, supported by the successful vaccine roll out and the reopening of major economies. While the COVID pandemic should remain a health issue for the world population during the coming

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Mid-Year Outlook: US Fixed Income – June 2021

Mid-Year Outlook: US Fixed Income – June 2021

🕔10:45, 5.Jul 2021

Fundamentals have continued to recover alongside vaccination efforts and reduced Covid restrictions, as well as fiscal and monetary accommodation driving increased general economic activity. We expect these factors …

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BNP Paribas AM – Webinar – Lookout for the Mega trends: Outlook for 2021 and beyond

🕔15:00, 1.Jul 2021

BNP Paribas Asset Management is delighted to invite you to join us for the next session in our virtual event series. On 1 July, Daniel Morris, Chief Market Strategist at BNP Paribas Asset Management, presents our mid-year outlook, recapping the

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Inflation blows on markets, and investors need to act

Inflation blows on markets, and investors need to act

🕔16:09, 30.Jun 2021

We are already reaching the peak of economic acceleration. What matters going forward is what will be left of this bounce in growth and inflation. Markets are pricing in a Goldilocks scenario: low inflation and higher growth at trend, but we will

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Tempting FAIT

Tempting FAIT

🕔15:36, 29.Jun 2021

Systematic Fixed Income Outlook: BlackRock’s quant bond experts tackle some hard questions around the recent inflation data. What is behind the headlines? Are rising prices just temporary or the start of something bigger? What does greater inflation uncertainty mean for

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2021 Q2 Capital Market Assumptions

2021 Q2 Capital Market Assumptions

🕔12:50, 24.Jun 2021

Forward-looking views for economic growth and inflation are some of the most critical building blocks for our CMAs. We currently compile these for 16 nations. Based on our forecasts, long-term real economic growth in the developed economies over the next

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Capital Group – Webinar – 2021 Midyear Outlook

🕔09:30, 24.Jun 2021

As we approach the mid-point of the year, and now more than a year from the commencement of the global pandemic, it’s time to look to the future with Capital Group senior investment professionals who will offer their views on

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Preparing for the start of a ‘mini-cycle’

Preparing for the start of a ‘mini-cycle’

🕔12:23, 23.Jun 2021

– The recovery phase of the US economic cycle is increasingly mature and looks set transition to its next phase in the coming months, a ‘mini-cycle’, similar to the long expansions of the 1990s and in the post-Global Financial Crisis

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Pictet Asset Management past de Asset Allocatie defensief aan

Pictet Asset Management past de Asset Allocatie defensief aan

🕔07:42, 21.Jun 2021

In de Investment Outlook van juni geeft Pictet Asset Management haar visie op de wereldwijde economische ontwikkelingen en de gevolgen hiervan op de Asset Allocatie. De belangrijkste boodschap kan kort worden samengevat. Pictet AM verwacht een vertraging van de economische

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U.S. Economic & interest rate outlook

U.S. Economic & interest rate outlook

🕔12:16, 18.Jun 2021

It’s been great to see the economy reopen, releasing a tremendous surge of energy. But anxieties remain: Will the economy overheat? Are we on a course toward runaway inflation? Will the workforce return to its former size? While these are

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The global picture supports a constructive outlook

The global picture supports a constructive outlook

🕔10:15, 9.Jun 2021

News surrounding the pandemic has steadily improved this month, with cases dropping sharply across the US and Europe, and retreating in India. As such, confidence in reopening timetables is increasing, with global growth expectations growing in tandem. More and more

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Quick-take on the US inflation outlook

Quick-take on the US inflation outlook

🕔16:47, 26.May 2021

US inflation surprised to the upside in April with the core consumer price index rising 0.9% in April and headline CPI up 0.8%1. This materially changes the maths on inflation. Even if the monthly trend in inflation decelerates to 0.15%,

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Private Credit Outlook 2021

Private Credit Outlook 2021

🕔10:33, 17.May 2021

2020 was a difficult year, for society, businesses and markets alike. The pandemic presented new and unforeseen challenges, creating periods of extreme uncertainty, and correspondingly high volatility in financial markets. As a result, governments and central banks around the world

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A Temporary Reversal

A Temporary Reversal

🕔10:45, 7.May 2021

Equity Outlook: The simple reflation trades – value versus growth, cyclicals versus defensives, small caps versus large caps – that had performed well following the news of positive vaccine trial results last November reversed in April (see Exhibit 1). The

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A Rate and Reflation Balancing Act

A Rate and Reflation Balancing Act

🕔09:26, 4.May 2021

Bond Compass: Good news was bad for bond investors in the first quarter, as improving growth prospects on the heels of accelerating vaccinations and fiscal stimulus pushed global yields higher. With administered doses nearing 700 million globally, the immunization process

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Q2 Outlook: Staying the course

Q2 Outlook: Staying the course

🕔15:45, 3.May 2021

With record amounts of stimulus still gushing through global markets, and the economic cycle at a relatively early stage, we remain positive on risk assets. Risk assets have notched up strong and even spectacular returns from their pandemic lows, prompting

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Columbia Threadneedle – Webinar – CIO market outlook

🕔11:00, 27.Apr 2021

A year ago, as the COVID-19 pandemic was spreading around the world, we discussed how markets would react and the impact lockdowns would have on the global economy. The forecast was pretty accurate. However, helped by the efficacy of the vaccines and Fed stimulus, the recovery time frame has shortened and has brought with it an optimism which has caused markets to reflect this accelerated recovery.

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Inflation, rotation and opportunities

Inflation, rotation and opportunities

🕔08:40, 26.Apr 2021

Our outlook draws on our wide range of independent investment managers to deliver asset class insights. Each manager approaches the economic environment with a different lens and offers views to help inform your decision making. As we look forward to

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House View 2020 Outlook

House View 2020 Outlook

🕔10:15, 22.Apr 2021

This time really is different. Every recession is subtly different from the last. However, the events that led to the great recession of 2020 were unique, at least in modern times. A sudden stop in economic activity, imposed by governments

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The whites of their eyes

The whites of their eyes

🕔14:05, 21.Apr 2021

Fixed Income Outlook–2Q2 The US Federal Reserve’s new average inflation targeting framework means that the central bank will not raise policy rates until realised inflation has risen sustainably to above its 2% target. That is, it does not intend to

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As the US recovery matures, returns will be driven by earnings

As the US recovery matures, returns will be driven by earnings

🕔10:18, 19.Apr 2021

Monthly Investment Outlook ■ In March, rising yields caused a dramatic rotation in equity markets, leading to modest gains in stock market indices, while exposing global bond investors to losses. ■ Economic activity in the world’s largest economy continued to

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Multi-asset market outlook

Multi-asset market outlook

🕔09:28, 13.Apr 2021

While fixed income markets mainly remained under pressure, they were not the worst performing asset class in March. That honor went to commodities. After leading the way over the past months, commodities came under pressure in March. The decline was broad based. Crude oil lost …

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Investors’ Outlook The global economy heats up and stokes inflation fears

Investors’ Outlook The global economy heats up and stokes inflation fears

🕔08:16, 12.Apr 2021

Just when we thought we could stop hunkering down in our interconnected yet improvised offices (sometimes carved out from a children’s bedroom), a third pandemic wave has come upon us. Moreover, inflation worries have suddenly emerged.

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The post-COVID-19 world, with Capital Group’s Night Watch

The post-COVID-19 world, with Capital Group’s Night Watch

🕔12:05, 6.Apr 2021

Rembrandt’s masterpiece “The Night Watch” is the inspiration for a multidisciplinary research process at Capital Group. Everyone in the painting is looking in a different direction and it is this gathering of multiple perspectives that summarises our approach to gaining a deeper understanding of market disruptions, assessing the risks and evaluating the opportunities that arise during times of extreme crisis.

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How to tackle the positive growth outlook as a bond investor?

How to tackle the positive growth outlook as a bond investor?

🕔11:53, 17.Mar 2021

Bond investors face a tougher environment: (expected) growth is pushing interest rates up from record lows, foreshadowing the eventual end of the ‘lower-for-longer’ era. The answer? Adopt an active approach with neither a strategic exposure to interest rate risk, nor the constraints of a benchmark.

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Investing Amidst a Tantrum in US Bond Markets

Investing Amidst a Tantrum in US Bond Markets

🕔16:12, 15.Mar 2021

February saw US fiscal authorities take the baton from the Federal Reserve and surprise on the upside in terms of proposed spending programmes in the months ahead. This served as a tailwind for global equities and a headwind for …

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Bonds – Shaken, not stirred – Multi-asset market outlook

Bonds – Shaken, not stirred – Multi-asset market outlook

🕔16:52, 11.Mar 2021

It’s been a terrible month for most fixed income assets. Actually, it’s been a terrible month for most assets that are considered to be ‘safe’. In February, the riskier the asset, the better the performance. Commodities and oil in particular led the way. The reflation story continued to be the dominant theme, but the twist this month was …

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Bridgewater: Our 2021 Global Outlook

Bridgewater: Our 2021 Global Outlook

🕔10:32, 24.Feb 2021

In the markets, the biggest opportunities and the biggest risks arise when you have a confluence of unsustainable flows of money and credit forming prices that discount unlikely future economic scenarios. Today, we see a number of such …

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Asia & China Equities 2021 Outlook in 3-D

Asia & China Equities 2021 Outlook in 3-D

🕔14:46, 23.Feb 2021

Asia’s relatively effective pandemic control in 2020 has enabled a gradual normalisation of domestic demand. Asia remains the engine of global growth …

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Drivers of the Shanghai-London gold price discount and outlook for 2021

Drivers of the Shanghai-London gold price discount and outlook for 2021

🕔09:17, 23.Feb 2021

The COVID-19 pandemic has had a significant impact on China’s gold market, leading to a 27% y-o-y drop in the nation’s gold demand in 2020. 1 One consequence of such weakness was the widest …

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Why we think it’s too early to be cautious on equities

Why we think it’s too early to be cautious on equities

🕔17:40, 20.Feb 2021

Value stocks outperformed momentum by almost 30% in November, but then gave back a third of this by the beginning of 2021 (Figure 1). Is the Georgia vote and Democrat win in the Senate the catalyst that reverses this? US investors did not think Senate control would switch to the Democrats, yet former president Donald Trump alienated centrist votes with allegations of stolen …

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A new era of investing

A new era of investing

🕔12:05, 17.Feb 2021

2020 saw unprecedented change around the globe – economically, socially and politically. The most significant impacts resulted from the global coronavirus pandemic which has potentially changed many aspects of life for ever. The investment landscape has been changing too …

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The Next Leg of Recovery

The Next Leg of Recovery

🕔11:25, 17.Feb 2021

2021 began with renewed bouts of volatility with a tug of war emerging between concerns over slow vaccine rollouts especially on the continent and delays in US fiscal support against positive earnings trends.

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The Not-So-Great Rotation

The Not-So-Great Rotation

🕔09:31, 17.Feb 2021

Equity investors began 2021 focused on the expected level of earnings at the end of the year rather than on the inevitable challenges in generating them. With economies globally …

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From Despair to Hope

From Despair to Hope

🕔14:55, 12.Feb 2021

In the US, reflation on the back of fiscal stimulus and the exit from lockdowns should lead to modestly higher inflation expectations and nominal bond yields. A renewed ‘taper tantrum’ looks unlikely as excess capacity and high unemployment rates will prevent …

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‘Blue Wave’ and Crypto in our Best Read last week

‘Blue Wave’ and Crypto in our Best Read last week

🕔14:25, 11.Feb 2021

Columbia Threadneedle Investments provides readers with an in-depth discussion of fixed income assets. One important takeaway is the Biden presidency causing rising inflation expectations.

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Qontigo – Webinar – Taking temperature for 2021

🕔17:00, 10.Feb 2021

Webinar – Taking temperature for 2021 Invesment solutions for challenging climate change February 10, 2021 – 4:00 p.m. (GMT) | 5:00 p.m. (CET) | 11:00 a.m. (EST) Despite the pandemic, climate change remains on top of the investors’ agenda. The

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Why we think it’s too early to be cautious on equities

Why we think it’s too early to be cautious on equities

🕔16:08, 10.Feb 2021

Why we think it’s too early to be cautious on equities Macro outlook | February 2021 Value stocks outperformed momentum by almost 30% in November, but then gave back a third of this by the beginning of 2021 (Figure 1).

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Water, Frontier Debt and more in our Best Read of Last Week

Water, Frontier Debt and more in our Best Read of Last Week

🕔12:06, 4.Feb 2021

OpinioPro readers found the BNP Paribas AM article the most interesting this week. The article discusses how the switch of many economies ‘’from a depletive to a sustainable model created a wide range of investment opportunities in many areas including water’’. The three main water-related investing …

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Gold Outlook 2021: Economic recovery and low interest rates set the tone

Gold Outlook 2021: Economic recovery and low interest rates set the tone

🕔08:45, 4.Feb 2021

The COVID-19 pandemic raised uncertainty by compounding existing risks and creating new ones. But by the end of last year, investors were optimistic that the worst was over. Looking ahead, we believe that investors will likely see the low interest rate environment as an opportunity to …

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