CROSS ASSET Investment Strategy While a global recession may be avoided, we are likely to see growth deceleration and high inflation (higher cost of living) along with regional divergences. Thus, investors should consider moving to a more cautious stance on
Naarmate de opwarming van de aarde voortduurt, moeten steden zich aanpassen aan een frequenter voorkomen van dodelijke hittegolven en moeten ze investeren in nieuwe technologieën en innovatie. Madrid en Miami worden vaak tot de beste steden ter wereld om in
Nu de vastgoedsector steeds meer wordt aangesproken op het verkleinen van zijn enorme ecologische voetafdruk, is modulair bouwen weer in de mode. Het is groener, sneller en efficiënter. Modulaire bouw is niet nieuw. In de negentiende eeuw verscheepten Britse immigranten
In our previous outlook, we encouraged investors to tune out “noise” and focus on “signal” — economic and asset class fundamentals evidenced in hard data. We continue to endorse this approach, but acknowledge that even the most diligent followers of
Overview It gives me great pleasure to introduce our ninth Secular Outlook. T he next five years will be an uphill struggle for investors. High public and corporate debt levels, labour shortages, potential tax hikes and increased levels of state
US CRE MARKET INSIGHTS June 2022: First quarter US CRE investment performance reported by NCREIF’s National Property Index (NPI) offers a continuation of the extraordinary total returns produced during 2021. Total return for the year ending March 2022 reached a
Mass market residential housing is in structural undersupply. As such, it is a defensive sector. It is not immune to supply chain or inflation risks. The sector has seen inflation in construction costs. To date, these costs have been absorbed
Private markets rebounded in 2021, after a year of pandemic-driven turbulence that suppressed fundraising and deal making. Fundraising climbed to a record of almost $1.2 trillion, up by almost 20 percent over 2020. Growth was widespread across asset classes and
Inflationary pressures will likely peak but not disappear Inflation, once thought transitory, now appears more durable. Supply-demand imbalances, while an expected aspect of the economic cycle, have been exacerbated by the unprecedented nature of pandemic shutdowns. The workforce remains constrained
Olaf Sleijpen – DNB – Shared Value conferentie, 5 april 2022 De presentatie bestaat uit drie onderdelen: 1. Eerst wil ik samen reflecteren op de recente ontwikkelingen op de Nederlandse woningmarkt. 2. Daarna wil ik inzoomen op de risico’s voor
Real Estate Outlook – Edition 1, 2022 The economic recovery continues, albeit interrupted by Omicron, and the war in Ukraine poses a new risk. Global real estate volumes reached a record high, driven by domestic buyers. Falls in office and
Alts in aggregate Real estate Infrastructure Private Markets Hedge funds
In our annual look into the year ahead, our research team gives answers to some of the key questions that real estate investors face. A year ago, the impact of COVID-19 vaccines was at the forefront of everybody’s minds. Our
As we look to 2022, we see REITs well positioned to serve an inflation hedging role while benefiting from a continued recovery in operating fundamentals and above trend economic growth. We see earnings growth as the primary driver of share
Commercial real estate (CRE) investment performance for US properties soared in the third quarter as unlevered total return reported by the National Council of Real Estate Investment Fiduciaries (NCREIF) registered 12.1% for the four quarters ending September 30, 2021. This
Recovery, risks and relationships Looking back over the last couple of years, it seems that while so much in our world has changed, much has remained the same. Yet we’ve learned a few lessons along the way. We seem to
2021 was a standout year for UK real estate, which delivered annualised total returns of 14.7% to the end of October, as robust income returns were complemented by the return of capital growth. This represents the highest level of annualised
US CRE Market Insights: Commercial real estate (CRE) investment performance for US properties soared in the third quarter as unlevered total return reported by the National Council of Real Estate Investment Fiduciaries (NCREIF) registered 12.1% for the four quarters ending
Executive summary Many aspects of investing are fundamentally rooted in the idea that total investment return includes both investment income and investment price appreciation (growth). Nearly every asset class can be decomposed into these two characteristics—some assets being composed mostly
INTRODUCTION In the year that followed the onset of the global COVID-19 pandemic, there was an unprecedented surge in construction costs. Nationwide, building materials rose at the fastest pace in a decade from March 2020 to September 2021 (Figure 1).
Real Estate Outlook – Edition 4, 2021: The global economy slowed in the third quarter, hit by a combination of supply chain constraints and the Delta variant of COVID-19. Business surveys reported that manufacturing production is lagging behind orders as
As European economies have started to recover from the pandemic, there is a clear upturn in confidence among property industry leaders although many are still coming to terms with the radical changes to the business of real estate brought about
In the year that followed the onset of the global COVID-19 pandemic, there was an unprecedented surge in construction costs. Nationwide, building materials rose at the fastest pace in a decade from March 2020 to September 2021 (Figure 1). Many
CIO View October has seen new record highs and record returns Events were less friendly to bonds, as inflation fears are prompting central banks to act sooner than expected Many investors are hopeful of the traditional year-end rally, but the
House View Q4 2021 The course of economic recoveries and expansions never runs completely smoothly. Businesses need to adjust to the changing environment and are just as likely to be surprised by the strength of demand as by any unexpected
Beijing’s policy actions in the property sector seem to be containing any potential contagion effect. KEY INSIGHTS We are confident that there will be a well‑managed deflation of the debt balloon in the real estate sector and that Evergrande’s troubles
If the world is to avoid more destructive climate change over the coming decades, every industry must change how it operates and strive to reach net zero carbon by 2050, in line with the 2015 Paris Agreement. Given that buildings
Multi Asset Quarterly: Economic outlook The economic normalization continues, although at an uneven pace following the long Covid-related shutdowns. Further severe lockdowns look unlikely in most Western countries. Supply chain bottlenecks are blurring the near-term macro visibility. Inflation numbers have risen
CIO Views Markets responded to mixed data from the US and China and to the potential tapering from central banks. We are also seeing inflation (energy and food) and a deceleration in China. As a result, while staying neutral on
Building a sustainable portfolio.The property industry is the largest emitter of CO2. By making buildings more sustainable, we can help the environment and boost returns. Investors are waking up to the fact that sustainable investing isn’t just good for the planet
Investors cite inflation hedging power as one of the primary attractions of property investments.2 This characteristic has been of limited use in recent years given the very low pace of inflation in the US and throughout most developed global markets
Real estate is often a building block within the investment portfolios of institutional investors. As with other asset classes, there are times when real estate is over- or undervalued. In this article, we investigate the use of an econometric model
Property investors are examining the emerging “new normal” as input into capital deployment plans for the months ahead. If history is a guide, the UK will capture a lion’s share of planned investment because its defining features remain extremely attractive
Recovery in the economy and real estate investment markets gathered pace in the second quarter, though the new Delta variant of the virus poses a threat. Real estate showed strong returns in the first half of the year, driven by
The European economy is emerging from its worst economic slump since the Great Depression. As the vaccine rollout progresses quickly across the continent, mitigation measures and travel bans are being lifted, allowing growth to revive. As the European economy recovers,
Investors may be concerned about how to protect their portfolios from the impact of higher inflation. Investments such as commodities, real estate and equities have historically outperformed when prices rise. But performance doesn’t tell the whole story. These asset classes
We are assessing potential winners and losers amid new regulations in the education sector. KEY INSIGHTS The situation is still evolving with regard to China’s new regulations for the education sector that has sparked a sell‑off. However, China’s stock market
Green Bonds De Franse vastgoedonderneming Gecina heeft recentelijk al haar reguliere obligaties omgezet naar volledig groene (green bond) obligaties. Niet door een herfinanciering, maar door het simpelweg omkatten van de bestaande grijze bonds naar green bonds. De vraag is dan
With Covid-19 top of mind, impacting both operations and investment strategies, the impact of the ongoing pandemic is the major theme running throughout. This includes an examination of adjustments made in response to the crisis and the impact on long-term
June showed similar trend characteristics to earlier in the year, with value and cyclical exposures rising again — but with a hint of caution caused by the emergence of new COVID variants and concerns over Fed tapering. Europe and the
We believe this economic cycle is in its infancy and, despite valuation concerns, are sticking with a preference for cyclical assets within our Model Asset Allocation. We make minimal changes, with a small reduction in the allocation to commodities (to
We believe the forces driving US commercial real estate investment performance are strengthening and supporting expectations for a solid if not impressive recovery from the Covid-19 recession. First quarter National Council of Real Estate Fiduciaries (NCREIF) results were notable with
Het internetgebruik en daarmee de data die we up en downloaden neemt alleen maar toe. Hiermee neemt ook de vraag toe naar een gespecialiseerd type vastgoed: het datacenter. Alleen al in Europa zal de datacentermarkt in de periode 2020-2024 jaarlijks
For the first time since the advent of the internal combustion engine, a complete transformation in car transport is underway. Instead of personally-owned, gasoline-powered, humandriven vehicles, the advanced economies are transitioning to electric-powered and driverless vehicles, paid for by the
A global pandemic kicked off the 2020s – a decade still feeling the effects of the 2007-2008 Global Financial Crisis with ultra-low interest rates and monetary authorities propping up asset markets. It is also a decade preceded by deep social,
In a recent publication by Janus Henderson they ask the question if the recent rise in rates is sustainable. They state that the recent rise in rates has made a couple things clear, namely: The recent rise is undoing the even faster decline from last year and secondly that the initial …
COVID-19 will leave an indelible scar on people and businesses which will take time to heal. While optimism mounts as global vaccination gets underway and spring shoots of recovery break through, the ever-present challenges that loom large on the …
Capital markets are increasingly penciling in a higher interest rate scenario as reflected in a sharp steepening in the Treasury yield curve over the past 30 days. The yield on the 10-year bond has increased by 40 bps over the past 30 days. Despite dovish messaging …
For investors, the recent decline in retail property performance might suggest opportunity for acquiring property at distressed pricing. The challenge for such investors is to identify discounts associated with the Covid-19-induced recession versus discounts associated with the structural distress in
The retail and hotel property sectors are bearing the brunt of the Covid disruption: weaker businesses are shuttering, vacancy rates are surging, rent collections are shrinking, property values are dropping, and commercial mortgage delinquencies are rising. Investors in these sectors are struggling to find a …
