The Federal Reserve lowered its target policy rate for the first time in over a decade, ending one of the longest hiking cycles in the past 30 years. While the cumulative increase in the federal funds rate of 225 basis
Core government bond yields continued their lurch lower as volatility remained elevated, driven by further escalation in trade rhetoric and the unexpected re-fixing of the Chinese yuan fix to above 7. This retaliatory action led the US Treasury to formerly
What happened in the past month? High frequency data points to retreat in both IP and retail sales growth in July. Property and land markets soften. July IPP coal consumption growth declined to -16% YoY from -10% YoY in June.
Index Dashboard: Europe
After an exceptionally strong start to the year, financial markets paused for breath in July, with most asset classes delivering muted returns. The Federal Reserve (the Fed) lowered US interest rates for the first time in 11 years, and the
Monthly Commentary | June 2019 On the surface, I am surprised this most recent correction was so muted:
Multi Asset Monthly Despite the trade truce between the US and China concluded during the G20, there is still a considerable risk that the lingering uncertainty will continue to dampen business confidence and capex spending. To the extent that this
Like most periods of economic transition, the current rethinking and reshaping of global supply chains — heightened by US-China trade tensions, but begun earlier — is marked by uncertainty, lack of clarity, and even questions about whether it is actually
Index Investment Strategy
What happened in the past month? Industrial activity growth appears to have recovered moderately from the weak growth in May. Property transaction volume in large cities held up. IPP coal consumption growth recovered to -9% YoY in June from -19%
The markets at a glance The resurgence of the US-China trade dispute has seen a problem leap back onto the agenda of the capital markets that many thought was as good as solved. Experience tells us that provocative broadsides by
Still reasonable global growth A combination of a reasonable global growth, policy support, and good relative valuations support overweight positions in selected fixed income and equity markets
June 2019 Eaton Vance Monthly Market Monitor presents a concise review of economic and asset class data through clear and impactful charts. Providing timely information across a broad array of markets and investment topics, this guide serves as a helpful
Cross Asset Investment Strategy After weeks of relative stability, the threat of a trade war has returned, shaking investor confidence and awakening markets from complacency. However, while there is still a significant optimism in the market that a deal can
The month of May was tough rather than merry. After many stock exchanges touched new record highs, the impulsive U.S. trade policy sent both equities and bond yields on a downward slide. The summer could be uncomfortably hot.
In Credit June Yields have plunged in the US, Europe and the UK. Hopes of a successful resolution to the trade dispute between the US and China have been replaced by increasing intransigence from both sides and the threat of
What happened in the past month? Industrial activity growth appears to have softened in May – domestic construction activities remained stable while export demand dropped sharply after the US tariff hike on May 10. Property transaction volume held up in
For much of this year, equity markets have enjoyed a healthy climb, assisted by a dovish tilt from central banks, as well as the possibility of a trade deal between the US and China. As we entered May, the S&P
Global Investment Views After weeks of relative stability, the threat of a trade war has returned, shaking investor confidence and awakening markets from complacency. However, while there is still a significant optimism in the market that a deal can be
For much of this year, equity markets have enjoyed a healthy climb, assisted by a dovish tilt from central banks, as well as the possibility of a trade deal between the US and China. As we entered May, the S&P
The rising correlations reflected the market’s increased concerns of a global economic slowdown. That neither correlations nor benchmark volatility rose much above average was indicative of the month’s other major theme: the escalating trade war between the U.S. and China
Eaton Vance Monthly Market Monitor presents a concise review of economic and asset class data through clear and impactful charts. Providing timely information across a broad array of markets and investment topics, this guide serves as a helpful resource in
Monthly Investment Strategy Europe goes to the polls on 23-26 May to elect European Parliament members. Despite concerns of a rising populist wing, current polling suggests power will remain at the European centre (albeit amongst a broader coalition). Populists may
Monthly Investment Strategy US-China tensions are back with a new round of tariff increases and threats of further escalation First quarter GDP data surprised on the upside in the US (significantly), in China and in Europe The demand breakdown as
