As the global economy continued to inch back towards normality and equity markets recovered ground, most of our reported risk indicators declined in August. The realized volatility of the S&P 500, S&P Composite 1500, S&P Developed Ex-U.S. BMI and S&P
Eaton Vance Monthly Market Monitor presents a concise review of economic and asset class data through clear and impactful charts. Providing timely information across a broad array of markets and investment topics, this guide serves as a helpful resource in
For the quarter ended June 30, 2020, the Bloomberg Barclays U.S. Aggregate Bond Index returned 2.90%. Year to date, the index has returned 6.14%. U.S. Treasuries returned 0.48% during the quarter as the yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury declined
Key points Stocks wrapped their best calendar quarter since 2009 during June as many economies continued their way out of lockdowns imposed to control the expansion of COVID-19. The STOXX® Global 1800 Index rose 2.7% in dollar terms during the
Key points A genuine gap is emerging between the US and Europe on the pandemic front So far differences in policy initiatives on either side of the Atlantic have made up for this short-coming Interdependency of virus control, policy and
For the month ended May 31, 2020, the Bloomberg Barclays U.S. Aggregate Bond Index returned 0.47%. Year to date, the index has returned 5.47%. U.S. Treasuries returned -0.25% during the month as the yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury rose
After a strong rally from the March lows, equity markets have been range-bound. Investors are weighing hopes of a recovery against fears of a “second wave” of virus cases, high valuations, and US-China trade tensions. In this letter, we offer
The rebound in equity markets extended into May. The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic continued to dominate markets, with an increasing focus on how countries would begin to relax their lockdown measures and how this would affect the economy. Volatility
Eaton Vance Monthly Market Monitor presents a concise review of economic and asset class data through clear and impactful charts. Providing timely information across a broad array of markets and investment topics, this guide serves as a helpful resource in
After the severe shock in March, markets rebounded strongly in April. COVID-19 continued to spread globally, but some countries saw daily new infection rates start to fall and are now planning to gradually reopen their economies. Governments and central banks
For the month ended April 30, 2020, the Bloomberg Barclays U.S. Aggregate Bond Index returned 1.78%. Year to date, the index has returned 4.98% U.S. Treasuries returned 0.64% during the month as the yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury declined
Equities slumped by the most since 2008 during March, as the global economy was forced to come to a standstill in order to combat the COVID-19 pandemic. The STOXX® Global 1800 Index dropped 12.9% in dollar terms, after a rebound
This quarter has not been an easy one for most investors. While it was already clear that we were in the later stages of the economic cycle, nobody could have predicted at the start of this year that large parts
Index Dashboard: Europe
In February, the coronavirus (COVID-19) outbreak replaced trade as the main focus for the markets. Fears of near-term negative effects on Chinese and global growth, together with the expectation that central banks around the globe will provide further monetary policy
What happened in the past month? Global trade growth continues to improve, riding on the tailwind of monetary easing earlier in the year and the recent de-escalation of China-US trade tension. On the domestic front, stronger infrastructure FAI and still-resilient
Key points Stocks rose for a fourth consecutive month in December, extending indices’ record-breaking rally this year, as the US and China struck an initial trade deal and reports pointed to a possible acceleration in the global economy. The STOXX®
October started out with a whole host of positive developments. The UK parliament compelled British Prime Minister Boris Johnson to ask the European Union to extend Brexit negotiations. The EU accepted the UK parliament’s request, thereby avoiding the possibility of
Equities continued to rally in November – a relatively consistent feature of markets in 2019, despite the multitude of geopolitical risks that investors have faced this year. The negotiations between the US and China on a ‘phase one’ trade deal
Market Overview October was all about talk of deals and crucial deadlines. What happened? The deals got nowhere and the deadlines were missed. How did markets react? Equities went up still more and bonds hung around. It is remarkable how
Financial markets welcomed signs of an easing in geopolitical tensions in October, with risk assets generally outperforming traditional safe havens. The US and Chinese authorities moved closer to agreeing a partial deal on trade, while the UK once again edged
A reprieve in trade tensions between the U.S. and China bolstered investor confidence in October even as political uncertainty increased around the globe. Washington and Beijing announced details of a potential deal – coined as “phase one” – for the
Over the past few weeks, Eurozone and U.S. economic and manufacturing data releases have started showing early signs of stabilization. In the United States, PMI data have trended sideways of late. Industrial production missed expectations, but much of the weakness
For the second straight month global equities outperformed U.S. equities. International developed (MSCI EAFE Index 3.6%) and emerging market (MSCI EM Index 4.2%) equities outpaced the U.S. S&P 500 Index which rose 2.2%. The U.K. Prime Minister, Boris Johnson, reached
Lichtpunten aan de horizon Wereldwijd zwakt de economische groei af. Maar er zijn signalen dat de groeivertraging niet verder doorzet. Macro-economische indicatoren duiden op stabilisatie. In de industriële sector, die de bron van de neergang is, zijn tekenen van herstel.
Eaton Vance Monthly Market Monitor presents a concise review of economic and asset class data through clear and impactful charts. Providing timely information across a broad array of markets and investment topics, this guide serves as a helpful resource in
Activity indicators stabilized but remained at relatively weak levels. Pork price gapped up after the October 1 holidays. Oct. Mtd IPP coal consumption growth rose to 19.9% YoY from 5.2% YoY in Sept on a low base, but industrial utilization
European equities ended October in positive territory, despite concerns about slowing economic growth in the Eurozone and continued Brexit uncertainty. The S&P Europe 350 gained 1.1% and is on track for its best year since 2009. Most European sectors finished October
Financial markets welcomed signs of an easing in geopolitical tensions in October, with risk assets generally outperforming traditional safe havens. The US and Chinese authorities moved closer to agreeing a partial deal on trade, while the UK once again edged
Presentation
U.S. assets performed well in the third quarter, adding to strong gains from the first half of the year. Markets rallied as heightened concerns about global trade and growth pushed bond yields lower and prompted central banks to ease policy.
Eaton Vance Monthly Market Monitor presents a concise review of economic and asset class data through clear and impactful charts. Providing timely information across a broad array of markets and investment topics, this guide serves as a helpful resource in
Despite an optimistic start to September, mixed geopolitical developments weighed on investor sentiment over the month. Trade tensions between the U.S. and China eased somewhat as September began: China exempted certain U.S. agricultural products from additional tariffs, and President Donald
IP growth edged up from the lows in July-August, but remained relatively weak. 3Q GDP growth tracks lower. Demand indicators appear to be stabilizing at a relatively weak level. Following the weak IP growth (4.4% & 4.8% YoY) in July-August,
S&P Dow Jones Indices
With the trade war escalating, the risk that the conflict will further dampen business confidence and capex is increasing. Whether this will lead to an outright recession will depend on the resilience of the consumer, who has so far been
The global economy is stuck in a persistent slowdown concentrated in the manufacturing sector amidst pervasive economic policy uncertainty. The latest ISM manufacturing producer confidence index slid into contraction territory at 49.1 in August, delivering little comfort for investors. Is
Eaton Vance Monthly Market Monitor presents a concise review of economic and asset class data through clear and impactful charts. Providing timely information across a broad array of markets and investment topics, this guide serves as a helpful resource in
We review trends across markets and economies in August 2019, consider what they mean for our multi-asset portfolios and present a positioning update. August started with a bang as President Donald Trump announced a 10% tariff on USD 300 billion
Oversold Conditions and Dovish Policy Shift Trigger Rebound in Stocks May’s sharp sell-off in stocks was swiftly countered by a rally in June that helped drive global equity markets to their best first half-year performance in over two decades. The
The dominant themes of the past few months remained in place as optimism over an interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve (realized on 31 July) and progress on the China-US trade war overcame weaker economic news in Europe and
What happened in the past month? IP growth edged up from a low level but remained sluggish; domestic demand indicators weakened further in Aug, esp. property-related ones. CICC China CMI points to softening domestic demand growth but a mild uptick
The times when investors were able to enjoy a quiet summer seem to be over. August was a volatile month for financial markets, with the VIX averaging 19, compared to 13 in July. The tone of the month was set
Back to school. Back to normal? Financial markets have been rattled in the past weeks over escalating trade war between the US and China as both imposed tariffs and counter-tariffs on imports. Idiosyncratic risks stories in countries such as Argentina
Stocks fell in August as the trade war between the US and China escalated and economic reports pointed to a continued slowdown in several parts of the world. The yield on 10-year US Treasuries went below the yield on two-year
Summary As Britain struggled to chart a course towards an EU exit deal, U.K. stocks weighed heavily on the S&P Europe 350 in August, while sovereign bond prices rose across the continent. The S&P Europe 350 declined 1.4%, with the
The Federal Reserve lowered its target policy rate for the first time in over a decade, ending one of the longest hiking cycles in the past 30 years. While the cumulative increase in the federal funds rate of 225 basis
Core government bond yields continued their lurch lower as volatility remained elevated, driven by further escalation in trade rhetoric and the unexpected re-fixing of the Chinese yuan fix to above 7. This retaliatory action led the US Treasury to formerly
What happened in the past month? High frequency data points to retreat in both IP and retail sales growth in July. Property and land markets soften. July IPP coal consumption growth declined to -16% YoY from -10% YoY in June.
