What happened in the past month? Global trade growth continues to improve, riding on the tailwind of monetary easing earlier in the year and the recent de-escalation of China-US trade tension. On the domestic front, stronger infrastructure FAI and still-resilient
Last Christmas, the markets gave investors a fright. This year, to save us from tears, the central banks gave us something special. Equity markets delivered fantastic returns in 2019. The MSCI World Index was up 28%, led by US equities
We review trends across markets and economies in Q4 2019, consider what they mean for our multi-asset portfolios and present a positioning update. All major risk asset classes enjoyed handsome quarterly returns in Q4 2019, particularly global equities, reflected by
A look back at markets in Q4 2019 when shares were supported by optimism over the prospects for a US-China trade deal.
In 2018, earnings were growing at double-digit rates, while equity markets were trading down. In 2019, however, earnings stagnated, and equities rose substantially. What a year! From today's point of view, market comments from one year ago are a fun
Key points Stocks rose for a fourth consecutive month in December, extending indices’ record-breaking rally this year, as the US and China struck an initial trade deal and reports pointed to a possible acceleration in the global economy. The STOXX®
October started out with a whole host of positive developments. The UK parliament compelled British Prime Minister Boris Johnson to ask the European Union to extend Brexit negotiations. The EU accepted the UK parliament’s request, thereby avoiding the possibility of
Equities continued to rally in November – a relatively consistent feature of markets in 2019, despite the multitude of geopolitical risks that investors have faced this year. The negotiations between the US and China on a ‘phase one’ trade deal
Optimism about a U.S.-China trade deal, and data releases suggesting recent global industrial weakness may have bottomed, lifted risk assets in November. Major government bond markets sold off, with Italian government bonds and emerging market (EM) local currency debt particularly
We believe global growth will remain moderate in 2020 (coming in around 3.25% for the year, essentially maintaining the current rate of annualized growth in 2019), thereby mitigating the imbalances and vulnerabilities (e.g., increasing inflation, sharp increases in commodity prices)
Market Overview October was all about talk of deals and crucial deadlines. What happened? The deals got nowhere and the deadlines were missed. How did markets react? Equities went up still more and bonds hung around. It is remarkable how
Week Ahead The draft budgets of France, Italy and Spain for the coming year were (not unexpectedly) not well-received by the European Commission. Despite high debt ratios, none of the three countries plans to make any significant budgetary adjustment. Therefore,
A review of the week's top global economic and capital markets news. For the week ending 22 November 2019 As of noon on Friday, global equities are on pace to close modestly lower on the week. The yield on the
Corporate earnings expectations have continued to fade as the impact of a global growth slowdown and related trade frictions take hold at the company level. Trade tensions between the United States and China remain elevated though negotiations aimed at reaching
Financial markets welcomed signs of an easing in geopolitical tensions in October, with risk assets generally outperforming traditional safe havens. The US and Chinese authorities moved closer to agreeing a partial deal on trade, while the UK once again edged
A reprieve in trade tensions between the U.S. and China bolstered investor confidence in October even as political uncertainty increased around the globe. Washington and Beijing announced details of a potential deal – coined as “phase one” – for the
Over the past few weeks, Eurozone and U.S. economic and manufacturing data releases have started showing early signs of stabilization. In the United States, PMI data have trended sideways of late. Industrial production missed expectations, but much of the weakness
Equities rose for the sixth straight week, marking the longest streak in two years.1 Trade issues remained in focus, as investor optimism over the Phase One trade deal has been rising. Investors have also been focused on modest improvements in
After a weak Q4 so far for rates markets, the last week provided a reversal of this fortune with prices higher in most areas. It was big week for economic data releases. The European economy continues to stumble on, as
For the second straight month global equities outperformed U.S. equities. International developed (MSCI EAFE Index 3.6%) and emerging market (MSCI EM Index 4.2%) equities outpaced the U.S. S&P 500 Index which rose 2.2%. The U.K. Prime Minister, Boris Johnson, reached
The big news item of the week was Germany’s third quarter GDP which rose 0.1%, narrowly missing a move into recessionary territory. Expectations were for a 0.1% drop and second quarter GDP was revised down to -0.2%. However, over a
Lichtpunten aan de horizon Wereldwijd zwakt de economische groei af. Maar er zijn signalen dat de groeivertraging niet verder doorzet. Macro-economische indicatoren duiden op stabilisatie. In de industriële sector, die de bron van de neergang is, zijn tekenen van herstel.
For the week ending 15 November 2019 As of noon on Friday, major US equity indices are on pace to close at record highs as fears of recession dissipate and hopes for a US-China trade agreement endure. The yield on
Eaton Vance Monthly Market Monitor presents a concise review of economic and asset class data through clear and impactful charts. Providing timely information across a broad array of markets and investment topics, this guide serves as a helpful resource in
Activity indicators stabilized but remained at relatively weak levels. Pork price gapped up after the October 1 holidays. Oct. Mtd IPP coal consumption growth rose to 19.9% YoY from 5.2% YoY in Sept on a low base, but industrial utilization
"We more than ever need a targeted investment agenda that stimulates ‘real’ economic growth," @hanswstegeman argues, "instead of the current financial agenda, which above all sustains elevated asset prices."
Discover our Q1 2020 Economic Outlook on our website now.
Global 5G deployment could trigger the emergence of a whole range of new services, say UBP’s experts. Read this piece to find out why and how.
