Index Investment Strategy Index Dashboard: Europe
Index Dashboard: Europe
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Twin Economic Shocks Trigger Forceful Policy Stimulus
Dual shocks from COVID-19 and falling oil prices have hit the global economy. The key concern now is that significant dislocation in financial markets ricochets back onto the real economy, raising risks for the outlook. At the margin, we see
Economic Update
This weekly update provides a snapshot of changes in the economy and markets and their implications for investors. Risks: Impacts from COVID-19 may cause a global recession. Political headlines may foment market volatility. Earnings growth has slowed and could stall
Review of markets over February 2020
In February, the coronavirus (COVID-19) outbreak replaced trade as the main focus for the markets. Fears of near-term negative effects on Chinese and global growth, together with the expectation that central banks around the globe will provide further monetary policy
2020 banking and capital markets M&A outlook
Mounting economic and political uncertainty in 2020 is likely to create a backdrop of short-term headwinds for banking and capital markets (B&CM) mergers and acquisitions (M&A). 2019 closed with record-low US unemployment, an all-time-high stock market, and considerable available capital
The long, the short, and the not so ugly
Investors’ Outlook There was a High Noon moment mid-2019 when the US Federal Reserve’s intrepid marshal Jerome Powell drew his liquidity gun. This surprised the Good, the Bad, and the Ugly all around, and had financial saloons buzzing in anticipation
Charting China Monthly Review Cyclical momentum improves further; liquidity conditions ease
What happened in the past month? Global trade growth continues to improve, riding on the tailwind of monetary easing earlier in the year and the recent de-escalation of China-US trade tension. On the domestic front, stronger infrastructure FAI and still-resilient
Review of markets over 2019
Last Christmas, the markets gave investors a fright. This year, to save us from tears, the central banks gave us something special. Equity markets delivered fantastic returns in 2019. The MSCI World Index was up 28%, led by US equities
A review of global markets and portfolio positioning in Q4
We review trends across markets and economies in Q4 2019, consider what they mean for our multi-asset portfolios and present a positioning update. All major risk asset classes enjoyed handsome quarterly returns in Q4 2019, particularly global equities, reflected by
Quarterly markets review – Q4 2019
A look back at markets in Q4 2019 when shares were supported by optimism over the prospects for a US-China trade deal.
Stocks In 2019: What A Difference One Year Makes
In 2018, earnings were growing at double-digit rates, while equity markets were trading down. In 2019, however, earnings stagnated, and equities rose substantially. What a year! From today's point of view, market comments from one year ago are a fun
STOXX Monthly Newsletter December 2019_Ready_AX_AS
Key points Stocks rose for a fourth consecutive month in December, extending indices’ record-breaking rally this year, as the US and China struck an initial trade deal and reports pointed to a possible acceleration in the global economy. The STOXX®
Investors’ Outlook – Lots of Treats Instead of Tricks
October started out with a whole host of positive developments. The UK parliament compelled British Prime Minister Boris Johnson to ask the European Union to extend Brexit negotiations. The EU accepted the UK parliament’s request, thereby avoiding the possibility of
Review of markets over November 2019
Equities continued to rally in November – a relatively consistent feature of markets in 2019, despite the multitude of geopolitical risks that investors have faced this year. The negotiations between the US and China on a ‘phase one’ trade deal
Multi-Asset Solutions Weekly Strategy Report
Optimism about a U.S.-China trade deal, and data releases suggesting recent global industrial weakness may have bottomed, lifted risk assets in November. Major government bond markets sold off, with Italian government bonds and emerging market (EM) local currency debt particularly
Solid Tone to Risk Assets into Year End
We believe global growth will remain moderate in 2020 (coming in around 3.25% for the year, essentially maintaining the current rate of annualized growth in 2019), thereby mitigating the imbalances and vulnerabilities (e.g., increasing inflation, sharp increases in commodity prices)
October has been dominated by big political misses
Market Overview October was all about talk of deals and crucial deadlines. What happened? The deals got nowhere and the deadlines were missed. How did markets react? Equities went up still more and bonds hung around. It is remarkable how
France, Italy and Spain under pressure
Week Ahead The draft budgets of France, Italy and Spain for the coming year were (not unexpectedly) not well-received by the European Commission. Despite high debt ratios, none of the three countries plans to make any significant budgetary adjustment. Therefore,
Trade Remains in Focus; Manufacturing Steadies
A review of the week's top global economic and capital markets news. For the week ending 22 November 2019 As of noon on Friday, global equities are on pace to close modestly lower on the week. The yield on the
Capital Markets View: Global Edition Q4 2019
Corporate earnings expectations have continued to fade as the impact of a global growth slowdown and related trade frictions take hold at the company level. Trade tensions between the United States and China remain elevated though negotiations aimed at reaching
Review of markets over October 2019
Financial markets welcomed signs of an easing in geopolitical tensions in October, with risk assets generally outperforming traditional safe havens. The US and Chinese authorities moved closer to agreeing a partial deal on trade, while the UK once again edged
Beneath the Surface
A reprieve in trade tensions between the U.S. and China bolstered investor confidence in October even as political uncertainty increased around the globe. Washington and Beijing announced details of a potential deal – coined as “phase one” – for the
Economic Debate Continues, Market Mood Brightens
Over the past few weeks, Eurozone and U.S. economic and manufacturing data releases have started showing early signs of stabilization. In the United States, PMI data have trended sideways of late. Industrial production missed expectations, but much of the weakness
Stocks continue to rise on improving sentiment
Equities rose for the sixth straight week, marking the longest streak in two years.1 Trade issues remained in focus, as investor optimism over the Phase One trade deal has been rising. Investors have also been focused on modest improvements in
Slowly, slowly does it.
After a weak Q4 so far for rates markets, the last week provided a reversal of this fortune with prices higher in most areas. It was big week for economic data releases. The European economy continues to stumble on, as
Featured
Munis hit turbulence in a flight to safety -> https://opiniopro.com/2020/04/blackrock/munis-hit-turbulence-in-a-flight-to-safety/ #cash #coronavirus #FixedIncome #lending #municipalbond #COVID19 via
@blackrock
Emerging markets debt: Determinants of sovereign bond quality and returns -> https://opiniopro.com/2020/04/eaton-vance/emerging-markets-debt-determinants-of-sovereign-bond-quality-and-returns/ #credit #EmergingMarkets #debt #fiscalpolicy #sovereignbonds via
@EatonPartners
@EatonVance
Fixed Income Market Update -> https://opiniopro.com/2020/04/voya/fixed-income-market-update-4/ #fixedincome #highyield #EMD via #Voya
The corona shock in commodity prices -> https://opiniopro.com/2020/04/abn-amro/the-corona-shock-in-commodity-prices/ #Commodities #GOLD #oilprice #OPEC #coronavirus #COVID19 via
@ABNAMROeconomen
US Senate approved US fiscal package -> https://opiniopro.com/2020/04/hsbc/us-senate-approved-us-fiscal-package/ #fiscal #CoronaCrisis #COVIDー19 #inflation #Recession2020 via
@HSBC
