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Reduce the overweight in Equities

Reduce the overweight in Equities

🕔16:18, 20.Mar 2020

Market Compass – February 2020 Just as the US/China trade truce provided broad-based relief, the new Coronavirus in China is unsettling global financial markets. The fast-spreading disease is challenging the global macro rebound, but we still see resilience in the US

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Perspectives from GSAM Strategic Advisory Solutions

Perspectives from GSAM Strategic Advisory Solutions

🕔16:40, 9.Mar 2020

TRADE: Though phase 1 of the US-China trade deal will go into effect on Feb. 14, the scope of the agreement is limited in its specifications. We expect enforcement to become a key focus going forward. Our base case remains

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A year of turning green

A year of turning green

🕔17:07, 2.Mar 2020

No recession in sight. Focus moves to environmental issues.  A key focus of 2020 will, we think, be ‘green spending’. It is set to move to the forefront in Europe and China; and be a major presidential election issue in

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SEB House View

SEB House View

🕔17:17, 24.Feb 2020

– As the trade war related uncertainty has faded we expect an inventory driven rebound in global growth over the coming 3-6 months Despite, in isolation, high valuations on all asset classes we expect this will be enough to fuel

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Politics will continue to surprise

Politics will continue to surprise

🕔17:04, 24.Feb 2020

Compass 2020 Outlook Signing off 2019 and ushering in 2020 As the world economy revives unsteadily from its latest swoon, we use this edition of Compass to discuss both what happened in 2019 and some things to think about for

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Testing limits

Testing limits

🕔16:43, 24.Feb 2020

2020 Global Outlook Growth should edge higher in 2020, limiting recession risks. This is a favorable backdrop for risk assets. But the dovish central bank pivot that drove markets in 2019 is largely behind us. Inflation risks look underappreciated, and

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Coronavirus turmoil is overshadowing commodities

Coronavirus turmoil is overshadowing commodities

🕔16:06, 24.Feb 2020

Commodities and the energy space in particular have been challenged by the coronavirus outbreak. How the infection rate evolves over the upcoming days and weeks will be critical, especially to the oil-price outlook. Chinese copper importers have declared force majeure.

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Strategies that benefit from volatility

Strategies that benefit from volatility

🕔08:28, 21.Feb 2020

While 2019 proved a buoyant year for all financial markets, the first weeks of 2020 have proved volatile. Asian investors who remember previous corrections are looking for sophisticated strategies fit for all market conditions. 

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Emerging Market Equities – China in uncharted territory

Emerging Market Equities – China in uncharted territory

🕔15:57, 17.Feb 2020

Key takeaways: While China and the US were keen to sign a ceasefire agreement (‘phase one’) to the trade war, substantive issues have been deferred until after the US election in November 2020. We should not expect significant stimulus from

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Wat een verschil in een jaar tijd!

Wat een verschil in een jaar tijd!

🕔14:28, 13.Feb 2020

2020 is begonnen met de ondertekening van een gedeeltelijk handelsakkoord door de VS en China. Wat een verschil in een jaar tijd! De handelsoorlog die heel 2019 heeft gewoed, de aandelen uit de groeilanden naar beneden heeft getrokken en de

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De voorbije week in een notendop

De voorbije week in een notendop

🕔16:06, 11.Feb 2020

De dreigende verspreiding van het coronavirus in afwachting van de ontdekking van een vaccin heeft de 􀃕nanciële markten door elkaar geschud. De tariefverlagingen die China had gepland voor een jaarlijks volume van $ 75 mld. aan Amerikaanse goederen, zorgde voor enige opluchting.

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Strong US labor market, but moderate wage pressure

Strong US labor market, but moderate wage pressure

🕔08:55, 10.Feb 2020

The US labor market continues to develop strongly, with 225,000 new jobs created in January (market expectations: 165,000). The unemployment rate remains at a historically low level of 3.6% and average hourly wages have increased by 3.1% y/y. The labor

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What a difference a year makes.

What a difference a year makes.

🕔16:02, 6.Feb 2020

Macro Views Housing is poised to emerge from its slowdown on the back of three rate cuts, though broader economic conditions will likely moderate any pickup Tariffs have thrown a wrench into trade data. Soured global conditions have complicated global

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H2O 2020 outlook

H2O 2020 outlook

🕔13:09, 3.Feb 2020

We strongly disagree with the assessment that the US and Europe are heading to a recession. The macro is still running slightly above potential in the US and in Europe. There is not enough leverage from households, a necessary condition

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Week Ahead

Week Ahead

🕔08:44, 27.Jan 2020

Italy –further increased political uncertainty This week, Luigi Di Maio resigned as head of the Five Star Movement. However, he remains a member of the government in his capacity as foreign minister. As senior partner of the Italian government, the

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Set phasers to one –trade war pause

Set phasers to one –trade war pause

🕔13:39, 23.Jan 2020

Theme of the month: Set phasers to one –trade war interregnum   The US and China signed a ‘Phase One’ trade deal. The deal included a modest lowering of some US tariffs on China, in return for an ambitious $200bn

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In the Year of the Rat, think even longer term

In the Year of the Rat, think even longer term

🕔06:28, 22.Jan 2020

Active is: Sharing insights This Chinese New Year, more than a billion people globally will celebrate the Year of the Rat. We believe investors everywhere can also find reason to celebrate China as a source of continued economic growth. Even if US-China

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The recessionary cloud is about to lift

The recessionary cloud is about to lift

🕔16:58, 20.Jan 2020

Take the lead – Global Insights 2020 The dominant theme as 2019 began – following three months of steep falls on world markets – was recession. But this threat was not obvious to us. Markets were pricing a downturn that

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An exceptional year for bonds, but finding yield got harder

An exceptional year for bonds, but finding yield got harder

🕔08:06, 17.Jan 2020

2020 income outlook The bond market in 2019 was a double-edged sword. Investors pocketed sizable capital gains in most sectors, thanks to plummeting rates. But the flip side hurts: As has often been the case since the 2008 financial crisis, the search for yield

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Geopolitical risks on our 2020 radar

Geopolitical risks on our 2020 radar

🕔08:09, 15.Jan 2020

Weekly commentary  • The recent sharp escalation in U.S.-Iran tensions serves as a reminder of the potential for flare-ups in geopolitical risks as we enter 2020. • We see global growth stabilizing and gradually picking up over the next six

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Voorkeur voor aandelen ten opzichte van obligaties blijft gehandhaafd

Voorkeur voor aandelen ten opzichte van obligaties blijft gehandhaafd

🕔14:41, 13.Jan 2020

Maandbericht beleggen De spanningen in het Midden-Oosten, opnieuw aangewakkerd door de Amerikaanse aanslag op de Iraanse generaal Soleimani, beheersen sinds een kleine week het nieuws en leiden tot nervositeit op de financiële markten. Ondanks de de-escalatie van de handelsoorlog tussen

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Outlook & Convictions

Outlook & Convictions

🕔13:44, 13.Jan 2020

Even without an increase in tension with Iran, global growth this year should slow further due to the US presidential campaign, higher customs tariffs remaining in place and Chinese abnegation. THE TRADE WAR SHOULD CONTINUE TO AFFECT GLOBAL GROWTH The

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Erste Group Research Eurozone

Erste Group Research Eurozone

🕔09:59, 13.Jan 2020

China – Leading indicators rising China will release GDP growth data for 4Q19 next week. In line with the long-term trend, China's GDP growth in 3Q dropped to +6.0% (previously +6.2%). However, the growth slowed somewhat more than before during

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Portfolio Manager Perspectives Mark Dowding’s Global Macro Update

Portfolio Manager Perspectives Mark Dowding’s Global Macro Update

🕔10:56, 31.Dec 2019

Person of the Year 2020? Bolstered by election success, Conservatives dream of PM Boris being next year’s award winner. Global bond yields traded higher towards the end of this week as investors seized on constructive headlines pertaining to a China

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No One Has Won the Trade War…Yet

No One Has Won the Trade War…Yet

🕔07:00, 25.Dec 2019

It is too early for either China or the United States to claim victory following the ‘Phase 1’ agreement announced last week. The ongoing 5G debate in Germany may hold the key for the US credibly to claim victory towards

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Twitter

Which financial assets are well positioned and which ones are at risk as policy-makers brace for major COVID-19-induced demand shocks? Find out more in this piece.

‘Whatever it takes’: Fiscal Edition -> https://opiniopro.com/2020/03/ubp/whatever-it-takes-fiscal-edition/ #CentralBanks #china #coronavirus #credit #crisis #ECB #fiscalpolicy #fomc #COVID19 via
@UBP_Group

Middle Market Direct Lending: Benefits of Pursuing Both Sponsored and Non-Sponsored Transactions -> https://opiniopro.com/2020/03/franklin-templeton/middle-market-direct-lending-benefits-of-pursuing-both-sponsored-and-non-sponsored-transac/ #Banks #Credit #lending via
@FTI_Global

Eye on the Market: Man vs Nature -> https://opiniopro.com/2020/03/jp-morgan/eye-on-the-market-man-vs-nature/ #centralbanks #Fed #fomc #government via
@jpmorgan

@JPMorganAM

Can the world economy “afford” this scale of fiscal and monetary stimulus? -> https://opiniopro.com/2020/03/opiniopro-selection/can-the-world-economy-afford-this-scale-of-fiscal-and-monetary-stimulus/ #CentralBanks #coronavirus #FED #fiscalpolicy #fomc #inflation #COVID19 via
@Opinio_Pro

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