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Is the dollar’s stumble a sign of things to come?

Is the dollar’s stumble a sign of things to come?

🕔14:34, 3.Dec 2020

Investment Insights  Is the U.S. dollar entering a new multiyear bear cycle, or is it just experiencing an episode of weakness in an already decade-long bull run? It’s a question at the top of investors’ minds given the dollar’s steady

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Covid-19 vaccines, lockdowns and equities

Covid-19 vaccines, lockdowns and equities

🕔09:41, 2.Dec 2020

Multi-asset | November 2020   Coronavirus cases are rising at an alarming rate in the US and Europe, so why are equities reaching new highs?  With the Covid-19 case count rising rapidly across the United States and Europe, the immediate economic

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Markets Prepare for the Post-Covid Period

Markets Prepare for the Post-Covid Period

🕔14:58, 1.Dec 2020

Market Flash Markets continued to focus on waning epidemic and political risk. Astra Zeneca unveiled a Covid vaccine that looks promising and simple to use. Governments are gearing up to start vaccination campaigns in the next few weeks. In the

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A Brave New World

A Brave New World

🕔07:26, 1.Dec 2020

Investment Outlook 2021 According to our scenario, all countries should see renewed growth in 2021. Economies have seen a gradual upturn since summer 2020, although the resurgence of Covid-19 cases and new local restrictions are hampering the recovery at the

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There’s No Place Like Housing

There’s No Place Like Housing

🕔09:41, 27.Nov 2020

Global Asset Allocation: The View from EMEA Blue Ripple? A Biden presidency, with Republicans maintaining control of the Senate, is a possible outcome of the US elections. Most polls heading into the election were predicting the possibility of a ‘Blue

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Fixed Income Outlook – Q4 2020

Fixed Income Outlook – Q4 2020

🕔14:43, 20.Nov 2020

Introduction: Binary outcomes In our recent CIO Autumn Outlook, we highlighted the binary nature of the key event risks heading into the final quarter, all of which still have the scope to move markets significantly. These are the US presidential

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The road less travelled

The road less travelled

🕔09:53, 20.Nov 2020

Fixed Income Quarterly Report – Q4 2020 A second wave of coronavirus infections is sweeping the globe, corporate defaults are on the rise and recovery rates are well below their historical average. Meanwhile, the outcome of one of the most

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High Hopes for a Cyclical Recovery

High Hopes for a Cyclical Recovery

🕔12:45, 19.Nov 2020

Asset Allocation Monthly Three key issues have dominated the macroeconomic outlook in recent weeks: The second wave of the virus, the possibility of a positive announcement on the vaccine front, and the outcome of the US elections. Markets have been

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US election update: clarity, but not certainty

US election update: clarity, but not certainty

🕔13:27, 10.Nov 2020

President-elect Biden to face a divided Congress   Developments continue since the US Presidential Elections last Tuesday, but over the weekend a wide range of news agencies have declared Joe Biden to be the winner in Pennsylvania, a state carrying 20

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The economy is deglobalizing, should my portfolio too?

The economy is deglobalizing, should my portfolio too?

🕔14:56, 3.Nov 2020

Global Investing Of course, the impact of next week’s elections in the US goes well beyond the economic and financial realm, but from our narrow angle, we will follow the results across two dimensions. One is volatility: whether a winner

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Back to square zero?

Back to square zero?

🕔13:07, 3.Nov 2020

Of course, the impact of next week’s elections in the US goes well beyond the economic and financial realm, but from our narrow angle, we will follow the results across two dimensions. One is volatility: whether a winner emerges quickly

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Index Dashboard: Dispersion, Volatility & Correlation

Index Dashboard: Dispersion, Volatility & Correlation

🕔09:18, 3.Nov 2020

Above-average equity volatility continued in October, despite a decline from last month’s level for the S&P 500 and most of our reported indices. The short-term trend was less encouraging: much of October’s volatility occurred during a choppy final week as

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Stocks are likely to remain in a trading range for now

Stocks are likely to remain in a trading range for now

🕔11:11, 31.Oct 2020

Weekly Investment Commentary Stocks snapped a three-week winning streak last week, with the S&P 500 Index dropping 0.5%. The U.S. elections continued to dominate the headlines, with polls showing an increasing likelihood of a Biden victory and Democratic sweep of

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US elections: an insider’s view

US elections: an insider’s view

🕔09:47, 30.Oct 2020

Investment Insights – US elections: an insider’s view  To briefly re-cap how the US presidential election works: it is decided not by the popular vote but by the electoral college vote. The successful candidate in each state takes all the

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Stocks are likely to remain in a trading range for now

Stocks are likely to remain in a trading range for now

🕔07:50, 30.Oct 2020

Weekly Investment Commentary Stocks snapped a three-week winning streak last week, with the S&P 500 Index dropping 0.5%. The U.S. elections continued to dominate the headlines, with polls showing an increasing likelihood of a Biden victory and Democratic sweep of

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Strong S&P 500 EPS Results for the Third Quarter

Strong S&P 500 EPS Results for the Third Quarter

🕔15:09, 29.Oct 2020

Strong S&P 500 EPS Results for the Third Quarter, Probably the Best of the Year CIO | View – Americas CIO View Powerful direct fiscal assistance to small businesses and households, forbearance programs, business reopening's and warmer weather all helped

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Treasury yields rise amid support for risk assets

Treasury yields rise amid support for risk assets

🕔11:18, 29.Oct 2020

Weekly Fixed Income Commentary U.S. Treasury rates closed higher last week, led by longer maturities. A constructive market tone lifted rates and supported risk assets. Prospects for additional fiscal stimulus prior to the U.S. election dimmed, but rates rose nonetheless

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Individual government challenges and the Covid-19 debt surge

Individual government challenges and the Covid-19 debt surge

🕔10:56, 28.Oct 2020

Research & Strategy Insights  Considering the rise in government debt in key developed markets  As cases of coronavirus appear to be on a rising trend again in the US and have picked up sharply across Europe, negative risks to the

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The Consequences Of Closed Borders

The Consequences Of Closed Borders

🕔09:48, 28.Oct 2020

Weekly Economic Commentary Eleven years ago, I had the pleasure of witnessing my wife’s naturalization ceremony. The presiding judge opened with a memorable comment: “Swearing in new citizens is the only time everyone leaves the courtroom happy.” Everyone present nodded.

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Wait-and-See Prevails

Wait-and-See Prevails

🕔13:14, 27.Oct 2020

Market Flash Markets are in wait-and-see mode. Investors are waiting to see a new stimulus plan in the US, the presidential election results, progress in finalising Brexit and positive developments in the search for a coronavirus vaccine. They are also

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Weekly Market Recap – 19 October 2020

Weekly Market Recap – 19 October 2020

🕔09:41, 20.Oct 2020

Summary for the week ending on Friday, 16 October  Following the lack of progress in stimulus negotiations over the previous weekend, the prospects of passing a relief package before the election seemed to dim further last week. On Tuesday, Republican

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COVID-19 has transformed the US high yield opportunity set

COVID-19 has transformed the US high yield opportunity set

🕔07:46, 20.Oct 2020

Credit Outlook  Downgrades and defaults have had a major impact on the asset class Record volumes of credit downgrades and a sharp spike in defaults have reconfigured the US high yield bond market in the wake of the coronavirus. This

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Highlights of last week: US Treasury yields and a search for visibility

Highlights of last week: US Treasury yields and a search for visibility

🕔10:15, 19.Oct 2020

#42 In October, there is no lack of webinars. This week our event calendar includes 11 webinars! For example, on Tuesday 20 October, KraneShares hosts a Virtual Conference called “The Next Chapter for China” and on Thursday 22 October, T.

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U.S. election through a sectoral lens

U.S. election through a sectoral lens

🕔14:57, 16.Oct 2020

Weekly commentary The potential outcomes of the November U.S. election could have starkly different policy ramifications, as we argued last week. What will this mean for equity markets? We believe simplistic narratives about the overall market direction are best avoided

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The Seasons of the True Size Anomaly

The Seasons of the True Size Anomaly

🕔14:48, 16.Oct 2020

An EDHEC-Risk Institute Working Paper  This paper employs a robust portfolio sorting procedure to factor size characteristics into returns. The US size anomaly boils then down to a pure seasonal effect, fully supporting the “tax-loss-selling” hypothesis. We build a long-short

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The Weekly Brief

The Weekly Brief

🕔14:37, 16.Oct 2020

In the final quarter of this year, investors are likely to learn the answers to three pivotal questions for markets. First, we are likely to hear the results of vaccine trials. Second, we will learn the results of the US

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Policy hurdles, political dilemmas

Policy hurdles, political dilemmas

🕔12:54, 16.Oct 2020

After some U-turns from the US President and although discussions are continuing, no deal has been found on a new fiscal stimulus package. The Fed has been very explicit on the necessity of a timely and comprehensive additional budgetary push

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Van twee kanten: Verkiezingen VS

Van twee kanten: Verkiezingen VS

🕔11:36, 15.Oct 2020

Beste Caspar, Als uitwisselingsstudent in New York werd ik in 2008 door een journalist gevraagd wat ik als buitenstaander dacht over de presidentsstrijd tussen McCain en Obama. Naast het uitspreken van …

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T. Rowe Price – Webinar – New world, new challenges: Rethinking the investment landscape

🕔11:00, 15.Oct 2020

Webinar – New world, new challenges: Rethinking the investment landscape 2020 has been a year like no other. A global health crisis, as yet without an end in sight, that has transformed the world and is accelerating change across societies.

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Treasury yields rise amid risk-on sentiment

Treasury yields rise amid risk-on sentiment

🕔11:09, 14.Oct 2020

U.S. Treasury yields rose across the yield curve last week, led by longer maturities. Investors saw renewed potential for a fiscal stimulus package, as well as the possibility of a Democratic sweep of the White House and Senate. Risk assets

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Recovery Changes Seasons

Recovery Changes Seasons

🕔11:35, 13.Oct 2020

U.S. Economic & Interest Rate Outlook The pandemic has made indoor activities and gatherings risky. During the summer, outdoor adventures and backyard socializing were effective workarounds. But as autumn takes hold, the cooling air will gradually limit those options. This

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Weekly Market Recap – 12 october 2020

Weekly Market Recap – 12 october 2020

🕔09:50, 13.Oct 2020

Wall Street kept a close eye on on-again, off-again negotiations over a new coronavirus relief package. Shares rose Monday after reports that House Speaker Nancy Pelosi and Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin had spoken by phone and were prepared to exchange

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Thinking out loud: market implications of US elections

Thinking out loud: market implications of US elections

🕔07:28, 13.Oct 2020

The political priorities and policies of the government of the world’s largest economy and superpower evidently matters for international investors. The checks and balances in the US Constitution limit the room for radical changes in policy direction and typically market

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A civil vice presidential debate has little impact on the race

A civil vice presidential debate has little impact on the race

🕔15:02, 12.Oct 2020

Vice President Mike Pence and Senator Kamala Harris met yesterday in their one and only Vice Presidential debate in Salt Lake City. This was the second most important milestone in the 2020 Presidential election, and early indications on the morning

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Markets Look for Visibility

Markets Look for Visibility

🕔13:27, 12.Oct 2020

Market Flash Joe Biden has continued to widen his poll lead since the first TV debate and the news that Donald Trump had gone down with Covid. Online sites have him at 65% vs. a mere 35% for Trump. Biden

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Gold deposit rates – a guidance paper

Gold deposit rates – a guidance paper

🕔15:15, 9.Oct 2020

Gold’s intrinsic value has been recognised for millennia but its role on the global stage changed fundamentally following the collapse of the Bretton Woods system. In 1971, US President Nixon suspended the dollar’s convertibility into gold. By 1973, advanced countries

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Hard to beat

Hard to beat

🕔07:59, 9.Oct 2020

Manager Point of View The US equity market is sometimes referred to as the most efficient and over-researched market in the world. It’s an argument that some have linked to the reduced preference for active investing, judging the S&P 500

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Curing What Ails U.S. Healthcare

Curing What Ails U.S. Healthcare

🕔14:38, 8.Oct 2020

Weekly Economic Commentary IN THIS ISSUE: Curing What Ails U.S. Healthcare Child Care Is A Global Economic Issue When It Comes To The U.S. National Debt, History Will Not Repeat No one can avoid the doctor’s office forever. Whether for

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Capital Group – Webinar – Trump and the positive test – what next in the race for the White House?

🕔16:30, 7.Oct 2020

Webinar – Trump and the positive test – what next in the race for the White House? The news that US President Donald Trump has tested positive for the Coronavirus just weeks before the Presidential elections, has thrown the Presidential

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Still waiting for the US cavalry

Still waiting for the US cavalry

🕔15:00, 7.Oct 2020

The Payroll data for September confirmed that the recovery of the US labour market is stalling. The fact that employment failed to grow outside the hospitality sector suggests the difficulties go well beyond the direct impact of Covid-fighting restrictions. Labour

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A new role for US equities in multi-asset portfolios

A new role for US equities in multi-asset portfolios

🕔13:24, 7.Oct 2020

Multi-Asset Solutions Weekly Strategy Report IN BRIEF From a portfolio perspective, exposure to tech winners in U.S. equities is not a free lunch. The same growth stories that prompted outsize U.S. equity returns in recent years and a faster recovery

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Weekly Market Recap – 5 October 2020

Weekly Market Recap – 5 October 2020

🕔09:13, 6.Oct 2020

Multi-Asset Solutions EMEA Summary for the week ending on Friday, 2 October  The political environment seemed to play a large role in driving sentiment last week. Investors kept a close eye on conflicting signals on stimulus negotiations between Treasury Secretary

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Investing Amidst a New Fed Policy Regime

Investing Amidst a New Fed Policy Regime

🕔13:23, 5.Oct 2020

Spotlight In early-September, the US Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell announced a shift in the inflation containment policy regime that had been in place since the 1970s. Recall how, facing rapidly rising and eventually double-digit inflation, then Fed Chair Paul

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A COVID-era guide to fixed income

A COVID-era guide to fixed income

🕔14:52, 2.Oct 2020

This spring, investors experienced one of the most volatile periods in modern market history. The speed with which financial markets sold off in March, and then rallied following unprecedented steps by the US Federal Reserve (Fed) and the US Treasury,

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US corporate bonds: resilience through adversity

US corporate bonds: resilience through adversity

🕔07:40, 1.Oct 2020

Investment Insights  The Capital Group US Corporate Bond strategy showed tremendous resilience through the worst of the volatility experienced towards the end of the 2020 first quarter. In this paper, we take a closer look at this strategy and how

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Weekly Market Recap

Weekly Market Recap

🕔11:24, 29.Sep 2020

Multi-Asset Solutions EMEA Summary for the week ending on Friday, 25 September  Last week began on a down note, with the renewed rise in coronavirus cases in Europe and several other concerns weighing on sentiment. Prospects for Democrats and Republicans

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Gravity wins in the end

Gravity wins in the end

🕔09:30, 29.Sep 2020

Research & Strategy Insights  The sense of disappointment on the state of the recovery is particularly acute in Europe, where the traditional macro indicators, such as the PMIs or the forward-looking components of the national surveys, are already pointing to

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An Existential Threat to the US Dollar

An Existential Threat to the US Dollar

🕔14:47, 28.Sep 2020

Aerial View Over the past 20 years, academics, policymakers and market participants have begun to debate the future of the US dollar (USD) as the world’s premier reserve currency, or the currency in which global …

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Biden his time

Biden his time

🕔12:49, 28.Sep 2020

Global Macro Monthly  US President Donald Trump has already laid claim to the fastest economic recovery in US history. In terms of quarterly growth rates, this will surely be the case. Following the steepest contraction on record, data in Q2

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Does it matter who wins the US election?

Does it matter who wins the US election?

🕔11:01, 28.Sep 2020

Uncommon truths  I have long expected Joe Biden to be elected as the next president of the US. I believe the stock market implications are less than many fear but not all sectors will be impacted in the same way.

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"Is the #dollar’s stumble a sign of things to come?" -> https://www.opiniopro.com/2020/12/capital-group/is-the-dollars-stumble-a-sign-of-things-to-come/ by @CapitalGroup #usdollar #us #currency

'#Coronavirus cases are rising at an alarming rate in the #US and #Europe, so why are #equities reaching new highs?' - "Covid-19 vaccines, lockdowns and equities" by @CTinvest_EMEA -> https://www.opiniopro.com/2020/12/columbia-threadneedle/covid-19-vaccines-lockdowns-and-equities/

#Webinar 9 December on #Frontier DebtMarkets @UBP_Group -> https://www.opiniopro.com/event/ubp-webinar-frontier-debt-markets/ #EMD #EMSovereignBonds

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