Interpretive Analysis and Insights During the last quarter of 2018, major U.S. indices plunged approximately 20% from their peaks of end of late August/early October. In 2019, they recovered and reached new highs. The S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial
After more than a decade of below‑target inflation in the U.S., some investors are speculating that inflation may finally rise due to the magnitude of monetary stimulus coinciding with fiscal stimulus supporting the economic recovery from the coronavirus‑induced …
Drastic volatility hit the U.S. stock market in the first half of 2020. The S&P 500® declined by 3.1%, with negative returns also posted by the S&P MidCap 400® (-12.8%) and the S&P SmallCap 600® (-17.9%). The S&P 500 reached
Renewed equity market volatility highlights the need for portfolio breadth. U.S. markets have sold off sharply after reaching record highs, driven by a correction in large‑cap technology stocks. With equity markets showing resilience throughout the summer, investors have raised concerns about market
Most U.S. Treasury yields increased modestly last week, led by longer maturities. The Federal Reserve (Fed) disappointed investors, as it did not expand long-duration asset purchases as some had hoped. The …
#38 September is filled with interesting webinars – have you checked out our event calendar yet? For example, next week Fidelity hosts a webinar on every weekday. On Monday, they will discuss “The rise of Asia“. Furthermore, on Wednesday Principal
It is now a reality that long-term bond yields are at or near zero in the US and virtually everywhere. There are so many implications of this that it takes some time to recognize and absorb them all and then
For the first time in nearly five months, U.S. equities experienced back-toback weekly losses, with the S&P 500 Index declining 2.5%.1 The weakness was due to overbought conditions (especially in technology) plus mounting skepticism over prospects for another fiscal stimulus
The gold bull market passed two important sign-posts in July. The strength of the market is impressive as it blew through $1,800 and the all-time high of $1,921. These prices had been major technical resistance points set a decade ago.
Weekly commentary The broad macro backdrop has been improving, risk assets have rallied a long way, and increasing market volatility points to risks that investors will need to navigate as the U.S. presidential election draws closer. All this leaves us …
The continuing lack of progress in Congress on a new stimulus package seemed to be weighing on sentiment, with investors particularly worried about the building financial pressures on states and municipalities. On Thursday, Republicans brought …
Weekly commentary Markets have rallied sharply from their virus lows, driven by the policy revolution and economic restart. Tighter valuations increase the risk of volatility, particularly ahead of divisive U.S. elections. Last week’s equity selloff illustrates this. Against …
By and large the dataflow continues to point upward for the global economy but as we expected the spectacular rebound of early summer is not sustained, with private sector job creation slowing down in the US and the Euro area
While no real estate sector or portfolio is immune from the negative effects of the coronavirus pandemic, we believe certain sectors and strategies are better positioned in these uncertain …
Global Fixed Income Strategy In November 2018, the US Federal Reserve (Fed) announced that it would conduct a broad review of its monetary policy framework. The new framework will likely shape monetary policy in …
Washington — With historic changes sweeping across the United States, calls reverberating for fairness and equity for all are coming more regularly than ever. In recent weeks, three distinct American Indian issues have made headlines …
Market Flash US equities broke fresh records as new Coronavirus cases fell sharply and the overall sanitary situation improved. The contrast was strong with Europe where there was a surge in new cases even if the number of people on
T. Rowe Price Insights on the U.S. Election Regulations would affect the energy sector and automotive industry Presumptive Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden has an ambitious climate agenda, headlined by pledges to eliminate …
We believe central bank stimulus has reduced the probability of stronger investment-grade bonds being overwhelmed by further bouts of market volatility. Fresh US interest-rate cuts should also encourage European and Asian investors back to US corporate bonds, as hedging back
Global markets and multi-asset portfolios The rebound in global equities has been quite dramatic, but so too has been the recovery in the market pricing of inflation, especially in the U.S. Since March, 10-year U.S. CPI swaps and Treasury inflation
U.S. Treasury yields fell steadily last week, led by longer maturities, and the yield curve flattened significantly. Wednesday’s 20-year maturity auction overwhelmed investor demand and pushed yields briefly higher, but cautious attitudes prevailed and yields fell …
Since our last forecast in May we have seen a further easing of lockdowns, particularly in Europe, and a gradual resumption of economic activity. The US has seen a second wave of outbreaks in the southern states and cases in
Markets at a glance In the course of the week, the markets remained very uncertain and highly influenced by the evolution of the contagion curve at the global level. On the US curve, the 2-year rate was confirmed …
Last week, I laid out five things to watch in the month of August. Over the past seven days, we’ve seen new developments in each one. This week, I offer a quick update to each of those five issues, and
Last week’s trading was typical of late summer, with catalysts for the market's moves remaining harder to identify than usual. The downward trend in new coronavirus cases seemed to support sentiment early in the week, although the number of daily
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