Mackenzie presents the 2023 Orange Book, our long-term outlook on domestic and global markets. Here, we highlight our expectations for the average return of stocks and bonds over the coming decade. Day-to-day moves in financial markets make the headlines. But what
Market Perspective Volatility likely to remain elevated in the new year as central bank policy expectations diverge amid evidence of slowing growth and moderating inflation. While slowing the pace of tightening, the US Federal Reserve reinforced its commitment to taming
After the Gold Rush Institutional investors forced to dig deep for opportunity as they brace for inflation or stagflation in post-pandemic markets. After seeming to recover from the pandemic in 2021, the global economy relapsed into what may be classified as a
Generating income is a key role of fixed income. For investors, the durability of income streams becomes more important amid heightened volatility in both equity and bond markets. Capital Group portfolio manager Damien McCann provides context around …
2022 has been one of the most volatile periods in recent years for global equity and fixed income markets. The outbreak of the war in Ukraine, global supply chain disruptions, global inflationary pressures, less accommodative central banks and COVID-19 restrictions
Investment returns for a private markets portfolio (or for that matter, public markets portfolio) are a derivative of a number of variables. In the current market environment, for example, rising rates, inflation, geopolitical risks, supply chain issues (to name just
For over two decades, the 60/40 equity-bond portfolio has served investors well as stock prices have risen and interest rates have fallen. However, the simultaneous sell-off in both asset classes this year has challenged this model. Looking ahead, we believe
Fast-growing digital and tech companies generated a lot of investor excitement over the past decade, not to mention an outsized share of market returns. Since the start of 2022, however, many of these market darlings have taken a beating. Amid
The chance to see a positive resolution between Russia and Ukraine has continued to decline. Conversely, ongoing geopolitical tension appear to be the new reality – so market participants will just have to get used to it. Unlike in recent
Our initial 2022 outlook themes generally played out as expected in the first quarter: strong but slower economic growth, persistently hotter inflation, the onset of interest rate hikes and further bouts of elevated market volatility. But two developments were unexpected:
Clear insights into multi-asset investing, macro and research Key points As our multi-asset franchise, All Roads, reached its 10-year milestone, we applied the investment and research insights gained in the past decade to assess the prevailing risk of Q1 –
In the face of these events, Bitcoin outperformed assets like oil, gold and US dollars. After heavy price drops to start 2022, the crypto market stabilised for some time until it was shaken by a sudden spike which saw overall
In the light of rising inflation numbers, central banks have made sharp hawkish shifts. The Fed is now expected to hike rates five times this year and to start rolling off its balance sheet. Even the ECB is expected to
In the light of rising inflation numbers, central banks have made sharp hawkish shifts. The Fed is now expected to hike rates five times this year and to start rolling off its balance sheet. Even the ECB is expected to
MONTHLY INVESTMENT OUTLOOK Volatility returned to both equity and bond markets in November and December as equities exited earnings season and markets began to prepare for a change in Fed policies looking ahead. These pivots come amidst a renewed acceleration
Following on the heels of a tumultuous year, 2021 featured both a recovery and new risks as the world continued to grapple with the COVID-19 pandemic. The S&P Municipal Bond Index finished 2021 with a gain of 1.77% as demand
Volatility returned to markets as Omicron, a new Covid-19 variant, spooked investors. With 50 alterations, including 33 on the spike protein, markets were left scrambling for clues regarding its contagiousness, its lethality and the efficacy of vaccines and treatments. Several
Nu het wanbetalingspercentage aan beide kanten van de Atlantische Oceaan uitzonderlijk laag is, zouden beleggers terecht kunnen denken dat de markt voor distressed kredieten zeer gematigd is. Maar er zijn strategieën die zelfs in de huidige omgeving kansen kunnen vinden
Judging from the performance of equity markets alone, the past four to six weeks appear to have followed the theme of the previous 12 months: a relentless rally in risk assets. When other markets are considered, though, a very different picture emerges.
Thematic equities in focus: After the rotation witnessed in Q1 2021, the second quarter was quieter, with elements of the inherent market volatility having subsided. However, investors continue to have questions around the prospect of inflation as economies continue to
The return of volatility to China markets. China’s equity markets have been roiled by a combination of concerns in recent weeks, culminating in the fallout from the Archegos family office liquidations in late March. However, this volatility has retraced …
Portfolio perspectives – August 2021: The volatility we have seen just in the two months since we published our midyear investment outlook reflects – in our view – the unusually wide range of divergent yet plausible economic outcomes that potentially
Weekly investment update: At first sight, the direction of financial markets in July might have come as a surprise: global equities posted their sixth consecutive monthly gain despite a steep drop in emerging market equities, while bond markets also recorded
In a week marked by volatility in broad risk markets related to concerns around inflation, the U.S. loan market maintained a steady pace, as the S&P/LSTA Leveraged Index (the “Index”) posted an advance of 0.09% for the seven-day period ended
Flash update: Ever since 2014, deposit rates in Europe have been negative, creating a headache for investors with this phenomenon unlikely to change in the near future. Current market pricing, for instance, does not have the deposit rate returning to
Downside risk management is crucial. Volatility and low yields are likely to persist over the next few years as the global economy recovers from the shock of the coronavirus. Navigating this environment will be difficult, particularly as returns from equities
Volatility in interest rates year-to-date has unevenly impacted credit markets. Investment grade credit (IG) weakened in sympathy with sovereign yields, especially in high quality and long duration paper. IG bonds were down -3.6% in the U.S. year-to-date, and -0.5% in
In April T. Rowe Price published an article named “Why ESG Factors Matter in Asia Credit Investing”. In the article, they discuss the upcoming importance of ESG factors when looking at Asian credit. T. Rowe Price expects that the ESG
In a recent publication by Janus Henderson they ask the question if the recent rise in rates is sustainable. They state that the recent rise in rates has made a couple things clear, namely: The recent rise is undoing the even faster decline from last year and secondly that the initial …
In its meeting last week, the Bank of Japan (BoJ) announced several changes in its monetary policy framework, but also confirmed its policy to keep yields under control. While other government bond markets have seen quite some volatility in the …
Rising global bond yields and interest rate volatility have been dominant themes in fixed income markets so far this year. In our latest investment team meetings, we discussed how likely these trends are to continue—and the potential implications for bond markets and central bank policies if they do.
The shift towards a more sustainable global economy continues to accelerate. At Aegon AM, we believe this secular shift will continue to present opportunities for investors. Entire industries and sectors are evolving as consumers and investors alike demand sustainable solutions, and governments around the world enact regulations to drive sustainability. From …
2021 began with renewed bouts of volatility with a tug of war emerging between concerns over slow vaccine rollouts especially on the continent and delays in US fiscal support against positive earnings trends.
While a new year may be underway, at least one thing remains the same: low bond yields. We believe that the challenges and risks this environment presents may not be fully understood by investors. For that reason, we have identified three questions that we believe investors should consider: focusing on the diversification power …
Webinar – Managing liquidity in a low yielding environment 20 MINUTES with UBP – Fixed Income Opportunity Focus In a moderate growth and low rate scenario which seems to be prevailing, maintaining liquidity has become extremely costly for investors. Active
In an environment marked by rapid market swings, investors looking to consistently outperform will have to increase their emphasis on downside protection while maintaining their upside participation.
Q&A with Rob Neithart, Fixed Income Portfolio Manager Based in Los Angeles We have experienced an extraordinary year so far. How did GHIO navigate the volatility and what have you done in the portfolio since then? Going into the period of
Global Investing Of course, the impact of next week’s elections in the US goes well beyond the economic and financial realm, but from our narrow angle, we will follow the results across two dimensions. One is volatility: whether a winner
Of course, the impact of next week’s elections in the US goes well beyond the economic and financial realm, but from our narrow angle, we will follow the results across two dimensions. One is volatility: whether a winner emerges quickly
Above-average equity volatility continued in October, despite a decline from last month’s level for the S&P 500 and most of our reported indices. The short-term trend was less encouraging: much of October’s volatility occurred during a choppy final week as
Investment Insights – US elections: an insider’s view To briefly re-cap how the US presidential election works: it is decided not by the popular vote but by the electoral college vote. The successful candidate in each state takes all the
Markets | October 2020 While every US presidential election is contentious, this year’s race seems especially divisive. Partisanship is extreme, and the difference between Donald Trump and Joe Biden in approach, personality and behaviour is stark. The charged rhetoric may
September 2020 Bitcoin Volatility Report – Sept. kicked off with bitcoin’s annualized volatility touching a 5-week low of 38.8%, only to then rally above 50% on Sept. 3, bounce between 50% and 56%, and snap a 5-month downtrend by concluding
CROSS ASSET Investment Strategy Monthly #10 October 2020 Investors have been dealing with rising volatility in equities and initial signs of a fall in the extreme market complacency over the last few months. This is leading to some key divergences
This spring, investors experienced one of the most volatile periods in modern market history. The speed with which financial markets sold off in March, and then rallied following unprecedented steps by the US Federal Reserve (Fed) and the US Treasury,
Since the global financial crisis, interest rates have been anchored at unprecedented lows. At the same time, stock and bond investments have produced positive returns along with bouts of significant volatility. This has left many investors questioning long-held return expectations
Since the global financial crisis, interest rates have been anchored at unprecedented lows. At the same time, stock and bond investments have produced positive returns along with bouts of significant volatility. This has left many investors questioning long-held return expectations
Investment Insights The Capital Group US Corporate Bond strategy showed tremendous resilience through the worst of the volatility experienced towards the end of the 2020 first quarter. In this paper, we take a closer look at this strategy and how
#39 September is a busy month for webinar-watchers! A lot of subjects are discussed, for example “Modern Monetary Theory” or “Small Caps“. A lot of research was posted last week and in this blogpost we will highlight a few we
