Measuring the value of human capital

Measuring the value of human capital

🕔17:06, 30.Nov 2021

Human capital refers to skills, knowledge and experience possessed by an individual or population, viewed in terms of their value or cost to an organisation or country. Within our Environmental, Social and Governance frameworks, human capital is identified as one

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The Strong Potential of Swiss Small and Mid-Caps Equities

The Strong Potential of Swiss Small and Mid-Caps Equities

🕔16:45, 30.Nov 2021

The Swiss small and mid-cap equity segment offers exposure to a balanced and diversified universe of value creative companies. Beyond its 40% concentration in the three names, Nestlé, Roche and Novartis, the large cap space is often …

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Could there be a shortage of oil?

Could there be a shortage of oil?

🕔15:21, 30.Nov 2021

Could a lack of upstream investment lead to a shortage of oil and higher prices? We think lower investment was due to falling prices and believe it is now reversing. We remain wary of oil. 

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An enhanced ESG Universal approach with UBS ETFs

An enhanced ESG Universal approach with UBS ETFs

🕔14:46, 30.Nov 2021

In recent years, the concept of minimum ESG requirements has evolved, with additional business activity exclusions and climate considerations becoming the new norm.

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Investing in the great transformation

Investing in the great transformation

🕔13:38, 30.Nov 2021

2022 will mark a critical juncture on the road to a new economic and financial regime. Multiple coexisting transitions will drive the shift from the old to a new regime, that has already started in economic, social and geopolitical spheres,

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Barometer: Het beleggingslandschap in 2022

Barometer: Het beleggingslandschap in 2022

🕔12:18, 30.Nov 2021

Hoewel obligaties het moeilijk zullen hebben bij een stijging van de rente, zouden aandelen een behoorlijk eencijferig rendement moeten genereren, omdat sterke bedrijfswinsten een daling van de winstveelvouden van aandelen compenseren.

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UK payrolls point to smooth ending of furlough scheme

UK payrolls point to smooth ending of furlough scheme

🕔10:12, 30.Nov 2021

Uncertainty surrounding the effect of the end of the UK furlough scheme on unemployment had been top of the Bank of England’s (BoE) list of economic concerns, but last week’s jobs data provided reasons to be optimistic on this front.

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The coup the graph

The coup the graph

🕔09:02, 30.Nov 2021

Our outlook favors the normalization case. The emergence of the Covid-19 Delta variant in the third quarter clearly put this thesis on hold and elongated the normalization process. Thus, the price pressures are going to leak well into 2022. But

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Markets versus Policymakers: who’s in charge?

Markets versus Policymakers: who’s in charge?

🕔16:03, 29.Nov 2021

Economic data and market expectations have shifted dramatically in the past few months. Gross domestic product growth figures have disappointed while inflation has …

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Liftoff? EM has already taken off

Liftoff? EM has already taken off

🕔14:12, 29.Nov 2021

As U.S. inflation is hitting three-decade highs, market talk has been all about “liftoff:” When will the Federal Reserve and others start raising their policy rates? This is old news in emerging markets (EMs), where many countries have already raised

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ESG is not a given, the battle for data has just begun

ESG is not a given, the battle for data has just begun

🕔13:18, 29.Nov 2021

ESG (environmental, social, and governance) investing has been making news headlines recently. With the rising adoption of ESG worldwide, regulatory scrutiny has started to intensify. The focus of this attention has been the assessment of what is effectively the integration

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Apartment Markets Remain Robust Despite Roaring Home Purchases

Apartment Markets Remain Robust Despite Roaring Home Purchases

🕔10:53, 29.Nov 2021

As the US Covid-19 shutdown took hold in March 2020, the US Federal Reserve (Fed) moved quickly and decisively to loosen interest rates and provide liquidity to counter the recessionary effects of the virus. On March 3, 2020, the Federal

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An Asset Allocation Primer: Connecting Markowitz, Kelly and Risk Parity

An Asset Allocation Primer: Connecting Markowitz, Kelly and Risk Parity

🕔09:01, 29.Nov 2021

As curious as it may sound, few asset allocation primers describe portfolio models while connecting them to each other. This article does so by describing and contrasting the mechanics of standard asset allocation models, including the utility-based, Markowitz, Kelly, risk

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2022 Long-Term Capital Market Assumptions Full Report

2022 Long-Term Capital Market Assumptions Full Report

🕔08:11, 29.Nov 2021

Fading scars, enduring policies IN BRIEF Almost two years after the pandemic struck, the global economic recovery has strong momentum, kicked off by huge fiscal and monetary stimulus and now sustained by a robust capex cycle and solid household balance

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Respecting Three Centuries of Correlation

Respecting Three Centuries of Correlation

🕔15:12, 27.Nov 2021

In brief In recent decades, negative correlations between stocks and bonds have been a tailwind for asset allocators, but negative correlations have been the historical exception, not the rule. Investors may need to change their expectations given the potential for

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What’s Hot: Red-hot inflation kindles a flame for commodities and gold

What’s Hot: Red-hot inflation kindles a flame for commodities and gold

🕔22:13, 26.Nov 2021

 US Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose 6.2% in October 2020, marking the highest level of inflation since 1990. The print, released on Wednesday 10th November 2021, outstripped the Bloomberg consensus survey of 5.9%. The central bank mantra of inflation being

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Green Sentiment, Stock Returns, and Corporate Behavior

Green Sentiment, Stock Returns, and Corporate Behavior

🕔21:23, 26.Nov 2021

In this paper, we propose a new method to estimate nonfundamental demand shocks for green financial assets based on the arbitrage activity of exchange-traded funds (ETFs). By estimating the monthly abnormal flows into environment-friendly ETFs, we construct a Green Sentiment

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2022 Global Private  Equity Outlook

2022 Global Private Equity Outlook

🕔19:39, 26.Nov 2021

The global private equity (PE) industry is scorching hot. Pent-up demand for deals was unleashed in H2 2020 following a brief hiatus as the COVID-19 pandemic sent economies all over the world into lockdown. As we head towards 2022, there

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The Big Short(ages)

The Big Short(ages)

🕔17:40, 26.Nov 2021

Shortages have challenged the recovery throughout this year, in a number of ways. Difficulties in supply chains and a slow return to work have persisted, while the costs of energy and housing are on the rise. These conditions are not

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De natuurlijke rem op bevolkingsgroei

De natuurlijke rem op bevolkingsgroei

🕔14:45, 26.Nov 2021

Er wonen ruim drie keer zoveel mensen op aarde dan 70 jaar geleden. Die toename verklaart voor een groot deel waarom we tegenwoordig veel meer vragen dan onze planeet ons kan geven. In de film ‘A Life on Our Planet’

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2022 outlook: agility counts in a year of disruption and divergence

2022 outlook: agility counts in a year of disruption and divergence

🕔14:25, 26.Nov 2021

Investors should be proactive and prepare for volatility in 2022. The coming months will be dominated by decelerating economic growth, diverging central bank policies and persistent inflation. At the same time, it’s critical to align with the long-term trends –

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Walking the delicate path to normalisation

Walking the delicate path to normalisation

🕔14:19, 26.Nov 2021

European Gazette: As central banks move gingerly towards normalising monetary policy, a delicate balancing act is under way. They need to tighten policy – but neither too soon, nor too quickly. Indeed, the flattening of the US yield curve in

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Why invest in EM local currency debt?

Why invest in EM local currency debt?

🕔13:05, 26.Nov 2021

Disappointing US dollar bond returns in EM local currency debt has led to a decline in flows into the asset class over the past decade. In this paper, we discuss the key reasons to invest in EM local currency debt, some of the factors behind the recent weakness in the asset class returns and prospects for the asset class going forward. 

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Bodemuitputting: 5 centimeter maakt een wereld van verschil

Bodemuitputting: 5 centimeter maakt een wereld van verschil

🕔08:30, 26.Nov 2021

We zijn gewend om omhoog te kijken als er een groot, wereldwijd milieuprobleem opgelost moet worden zoals het gat in de ozonlaag of een hoge CO2-uitstoot. Maar ook de grond onder onze voeten speelt een doorslaggevende rol voor de toekomst

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How To Analyse Discretionary Macro Fund

How To Analyse Discretionary Macro Fund

🕔08:05, 26.Nov 2021

Whilst the definition is fairly broad, a traditional DMAC investment approach aims to build a balanced portfolio of directional trades that mix traditional and idiosyncratic premia (betas) by taking risk-on/risk-off positions using fundamental macro and market analyses that are not

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The Case for Investing in Broad Commodities

The Case for Investing in Broad Commodities

🕔15:23, 25.Nov 2021

Building Stronger Portfolios Despite being traded on exchanges for more than a century, commodities are the least well understood of the main asset classes. Over the last 20 years, this gap has begun to close, with many renowned academics pointing

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The growing threat of cyber risk

The growing threat of cyber risk

🕔14:00, 25.Nov 2021

Companies are faced with a difficult decision after a cyberattack has occurred. Paying the ransom has become more expensive over time and it does not guarantee that the cyber criminals will release their grip on company systems, nor does it

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The next phase for private credit markets

The next phase for private credit markets

🕔11:49, 25.Nov 2021

The changing landscape The resilience and adaptability of the asset class during the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic has helped to cement private credit’s permanence in the minds of strategic asset allocators, with private markets proving their value to investors in balancing

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Playing second fiddle

Playing second fiddle

🕔09:50, 25.Nov 2021

US FIXED INCOME 2022 OUTLOOK That’s how the 2022 economic forecasts feel when compared to 2021. For ’22, we see real growth running about 4%, or two times trend. That’s typically great performance, but when you’re coming off a phenomenal

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2022 Outlook: US Commercial Real Estate

2022 Outlook: US Commercial Real Estate

🕔15:25, 24.Nov 2021

Commercial real estate (CRE) investment performance for US properties soared in the third quarter as unlevered total return reported by the National Council of Real Estate Investment Fiduciaries (NCREIF) registered 12.1% for the four quarters ending September 30, 2021. This

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European markets have been strong

European markets have been strong

🕔13:54, 24.Nov 2021

Market updates: At the start of the week, President Biden signed into law the $1.2 trillion infrastructure package. He is also set to announce a new US Federal Reserve Chief, which is expected to be either incumbent Jerome Powell or

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How to dismantle a conglomerate.

How to dismantle a conglomerate.

🕔08:58, 24.Nov 2021

If you are looking for market volatility to spice up your week then core government bond markets would be a good place to start. After last weeks ‘communication breakdown’ between central banks and investors, and more dovish policy response, that

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Going with the trend

Going with the trend

🕔16:13, 23.Nov 2021

How CTAs work and what they can do in the age of low interest rates Commodity Trading Advisor (CTA) strategies are an investment success story. They have attracted large inflows of assets, drawn in by their ability to generate returns

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EM inflation elevated, but still relatively contained

EM inflation elevated, but still relatively contained

🕔14:34, 23.Nov 2021

Higher inflation and in some cases, rising inflation expectations, have been a key focus for investors this year, in both emerging and developed markets. This is against a backdrop of large fiscal and monetary stimulus from governments around the world,

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Earnings momentum and a change in central bank tone

Earnings momentum and a change in central bank tone

🕔12:26, 23.Nov 2021

Supply chain constraints and higher input prices has led to worries that the transitory inflation story may last longer than anticipated. Markets have now become concerned that higher-than-expected inflation may incentivize Central Banks to increase the speed of future monetary

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Global Asset Allocation 2022 Outlook

Global Asset Allocation 2022 Outlook

🕔10:05, 23.Nov 2021

Given our view that 2022 will be a year of transition and that asset class returns will converge, we adopt a more balanced approach within our Model Asset Allocation, though still maintain a preference for cyclical assets. We reduce the

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Gezonde Steden

Gezonde Steden

🕔08:42, 23.Nov 2021

De Covid-19-pandemie heeft de nadruk gelegd op gezondheid. Goed ontworpen en goed onderhouden steden zijn een belangrijk stukje van de puzzel. Slimme steden gaan niet alleen over robotica en futuristisch design. Om echt slim te zijn, moeten ze ook de

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What I learned on a trip through China

What I learned on a trip through China

🕔16:31, 22.Nov 2021

Several colleagues and I made our first journey back to China in more than 15 months as we start to get back to on-the-ground research. Our trip in May took us to 16 cities and included close to 90 meetings

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Visie op asset allocatie

Visie op asset allocatie

🕔15:54, 22.Nov 2021

NOVEMBER 2021 Economie VS vertraagt, eurozone nog sterk Monetair beleid stukje bij beetje minder stimulerend Winstcijfers steun voor aandelenmarkten Beleggingsbeleid ongewijzigd; overweging aandelen gehandhaafd

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Vooroplopers en achterblijvers in duurzame transitie

Vooroplopers en achterblijvers in duurzame transitie

🕔14:33, 22.Nov 2021

De Investment Grade (IG) Green Bond markt is in rap tempo gegroeid tot groter dan € 400 miljard. Ter vergelijking: in 2016 was deze markt nog kleiner dan € 50 miljard. Hiermee is de € Green Bond markt inmiddels groter

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Long Covid

Long Covid

🕔12:39, 22.Nov 2021

In the short term, we are concerned that confidence in the growth outlook will wane, particularly given the recently weaker data in China, ‘stagflation risk’, and an earnings season dominated by the ‘margins squeeze’ story VIEWS & ASSET ALLOCATION Visibility

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China: The factors behind weaker growth in 2022

China: The factors behind weaker growth in 2022

🕔10:15, 22.Nov 2021

KEY TAKEAWAYS The Chinese economy is facing headwinds leading into 2022, including: 1) Ongoing regulatory crackdown; 2) Exposure to COVID outbreaks; 3) A slump in the housing sector; and 4) Power shortages over the winter months. As a result and

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Inflation protection — Hope for the best, but build robust portfolios

Inflation protection — Hope for the best, but build robust portfolios

🕔09:05, 22.Nov 2021

Building a robust portfolio has gotten tougher The last two years have been full of extraordinary challenges. Following the outbreak of the pandemic, the lockdowns and restrictions imposed by governments around the globe hit economies and markets hard and fast.

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The Great Inflation, Factors, and Stock Returns

The Great Inflation, Factors, and Stock Returns

🕔08:17, 22.Nov 2021

“Inflation is as violent as a mugger, as frightening as an armed robber and as deadly as a hit man.” — Ronald Reagan Inflation is an amorphous concept that generally refers to the sustained increase in the general level of

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Podcast: Are central banks at an inflection point?

Podcast: Are central banks at an inflection point?

🕔14:56, 19.Nov 2021

5 minutes with UBP global fixed income: What do you think of the recent communications from central banks? In this new podcast, our experts Bernard McGrath and Mohammed Kazmi share their views and reflect on the upcoming June meetings.

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Can investors help bridge the US digital divide?

Can investors help bridge the US digital divide?

🕔14:39, 19.Nov 2021

Fast and affordable internet service has become a critical component to working, studying, accessing health care and participating in the political process – both in the US and across the globe. In 2016, the United Nations went so far as

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Process is everything for Pan European Smaller Companies

Process is everything for Pan European Smaller Companies

🕔13:37, 19.Nov 2021

Two factors have interested us in Europe in 2021. First, there has been a value rally since November 2020, particularly in smaller companies. The onset of the pandemic in Europe in early 2020 initially saw value and cyclical stocks, typically

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Solving the puzzle: ESG assessment in sovereign bond portfolios

Solving the puzzle: ESG assessment in sovereign bond portfolios

🕔12:45, 19.Nov 2021

Sovereigns are difficult to assess, given their complex social, economic, political, and geographic makeup. Environmental, Social and Governance (ESG) analysis of sovereigns is thus inherently complicated since it builds on an already-challenging typical sovereign assessment. In part, this is due

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A Life on Our Planet

A Life on Our Planet

🕔08:29, 19.Nov 2021

Er is veel geschreven over duurzaam beleggen en de noodzaak om de leefbaarheid van onze planeet te beschermen. Maar al die verhalen samen, hebben nog niet zoveel in beweging gebracht als A Life on Our Planet. Dat is een film

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Asset Allocation Monthly

Asset Allocation Monthly

🕔16:29, 18.Nov 2021

In the short term, we are concerned that confidence in the growth outlook will wane, particularly given the recently weaker data in China, ‘stagflation risk’, and an earnings season dominated by the ‘margins squeeze’ story.   Visibility on the outlook has

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